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The average pro number is now around So how to do most people handicap totals? The most basic strategy is to look at the scoring averages for both teams. Where the public falls short is they tend to focus on the offensive numbers for both teams. They simply add up the two scoring averages and compare that number to the total set by the books.
A more true indicator would be combining how many points a team is scoring and allowing. For example, if a team is averaging The average combined score is You would figure out this number for the other side, add the two together and divide by 2. I ran the numbers on two teams averaging more combined points than the total. My next thought was to see if the time of the year mattered. So these are all the situations where both schools are averaging more than the total. If you want to see what games fall under this system during the season, just clink on this link.
One of the reasons the line could be set lower than the scoring averages is the weather. Everyone thinks snow and rain as the adverse conditions that hinder offenses from scoring, but in reality what I have found is the wind has the biggest effect. Here are how the different average wind speeds relate to going under the number in a recent study I conducted. There is a recency bias in betting.
These results are based on the cumulative score in regards to the total. For example, Team 1 goes under in their first game by 2. Then in the following two weeks they exceed the mark by Unlike the NFL, which plays almost all its games on Sunday, college football offers bettors the chance to wage on matchups happening throughout the week, including thirty plus matchups on Saturdays.
A greater slate of games means more money lines, more spreads, more chances to get some bang for your buck. According to SportsInsights there was a point spread listed for college football games in Meanwhile, in merely a handful of offshore sportsbooks, a grand total of 12,, bets were placed during the college football season. As part of this article, we will discuss the different types of bets you can make on college games as well as some helpful tips and strategies for maximizing your returns.
The Simulator is built based on a predictive model created by a doctor with an extensive background in mathematics, psychology, and operations research. The best networks were able to correctly predict the winning team This individual has worked with multiple professional and collegiate sports organizations, player agents, sports data agencies and a top-ranked fantasy website.
His work with professional sports organizations includes optimizing scout travel, in-depth player analysis and lineup configurations. Among his greatest innovations was the discovery of neural networks as a powerful tool for sports betting. A neural network is defined as a computer system modeled on the human brain and nervous system. While the model was initially developed around NBA betting, it has since been applied to other sports — chief among them, college football. What makes the Sports Analytics Simulator unique is that it relies not on data inputs statistics from previous seasons, but on continuous game-to-game updates.
From this model, we derive our picks for each game. And the best part is, our system is a living, breathing predictive model — it possesses machine learning capacities that allow to detect trends and potentials that we mere humans could only dream of finding. For more information, check out this handy dandy video on how it works:. Much like the NFL, college football offers the standard bets: spread, moneyline, totals, parlays, and teasers.
Unique to college football are the 1st quarter and halftime bets. With spreads, bookmakers set a spread with a favorite and an underdog. This type of bet equalizes the chance of winning a wager. In order for you to win on a bet of this nature, one team must cover the spread — so if the spread is -7 in favor of the Florida State over Oregon, the Sentinels must win by seven points or more.
Whereas in order for the Ducks to cover the spread, they must either lose by less than seven points, or win. It might look like this:. Moneyline betting is an equally common form of sports betting as spread bets. The difference is that with moneylines, bookmakers will set lines representing the favorite and the underdog.
Generally, the moneyline reflects the spread. With the sheer number of available bets on a given Saturday, a bettor may choose to parlay see below several big favorites, which will increase the risk AND the payout of the wager. Your job as a bettor is to decide whether the score will be… over or under 32 points. A prop bet is a special kind of bet that has nothing to do with the outcome or final score of a game. Prop bets come in many different forms.
Some of them are player-based — how many yards or touchdowns a specific player scores. Some of them are based in live betting, i. In order for Patrizio to win the bet, the Eagles must win their game against Dallas and Tiffany and Pat must score 5 out of 10 in their dance competition. In order for the bettor to win the wager, all outcomes must unfold accordingly.
This might involve a handful of other bets such as a totals bet and a moneyline bet.
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