He leads by almost 21, votes among over 3. Biden is now to win the presidency at Betfair, and at Pinnacle. And one of the more amazing comebacks in election night history is near complete. And the better news for Biden is there might be as many as another , votes in the county to be counted. Biden just needs to win two of the four to be the new leader of the free world. Even if Trump pulls ahead in Nevada, I'd expect Biden to gain as mail ballots continue to arrive for the next week.
Oh, and PredictIt is back! Imagine being a site sole created for people to trade on political outcomes and elections, and crashing for 10 hours on Election Day. The anger of Twitter and possibly regulators will not be contained here. For the first time, we can say with certainty that Joe Biden is favored in both the betting markets and to win the election.
Of course they did. Am I ever going to sleep again? The voting data dump scheduled from Milwaukee at 4 a. Pick us up to series, Netflix. The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and this is clearly going to take a few days at best to settle. My other theory? The Chewbacca Defense. Tweet it out, list me as first according to the networks, and please credit DK Nation.
So bear with me as I quote tweet myself instead of re-typing. Also follow me for the hottest takes on college football, college football betting, and where to get the best Cuban sandwich in Tampa. Below is the current FiveThirtyEight projection. Which means if he wins Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin he wins with exactly votes.
And that sounds tremendous for our democracy. That translates to a Things are kind of copasetic right now It is absolutely insane, and how they handle this will be really interesting. Do they have some kind of insurance to make bettors whole? You know why else it stinks? It would have looked like the Falcons having a lead on the Patriots on in-game wagering. A preliminary canvass of Pennsylvania seems to indicate that if all the mail-in votes are counted, Biden certainly will be competitive there.
The markets are factoring it in: Trump is down to 1. Exactly electoral votes. The markets have moved, with Trump sitting at 1. PredictIt is still broken, with the operators of said site likely running from the angry Twitter mobs. If he wins one, it goes to the House of Representatives. And if they voted just as each member with one vote, Biden clearly wins. But they vote by the congressional delegation of each state The massive early-and-mail vote in Maricopa County dump was for good for him.
The home of Phoenix and plenty of its suburbs has Biden leading The former astronaut Kelly, husband of former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords, was a strong favorite to take that seat. Biden is clearly not out of the woods here yet in the Grand Canyon State yet, and you might not see a call anytime soon. But Arizona is the clubhouse leader be the first state to flip from red to blue in it would appear as of now. Philadelphia officials say they will not be reporting any more mail ballot results tonight.
About 76, have been tallied so far — out of ,some received, says hollyotterbein. If bettors are right, the President will have pulled out the 1-in shot and will be re-elected. President Trump is now 1. But Biden is at 1. But it just might be too soon to assess much in Pennsylvania. Right now Biden is at 1. Pinnacle has temporarily taken down their Pennsylvania market. And PredictIt is still broken. There are still paths for Biden to win without the Keystone State, but they might involve winning both North Carolina and Arizona together.
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When it comes to the odds to win the presidency, track the odds here. With up to the minute presidential bet odds bookmark this page and check back often. Presidential betting odds are calculated using an aggregated weighted index including numbers from:. As of early , only Betfair is offering odds because they are the only bookmaker taking bets on the next election. We assume Betway and PredictIt will be taking bets at some point and those odds will be added in.
Once all three bookmakers publish odds, you can use the chart above to view odds from all of them at once, weighted, or check an individual market. A betting exchange Betfair Exchange, PredicIt lets people bet against each other. The bookmaker Betway takes less risk but will take a small percentage of winnings.
Most election wagers are moneyline bets or straight bets. For a sporting event, you are bidding on which team will win. For betting on the presidential election, you are bidding on which candidate will win. When comparing the presidential odds, a plus symbol means that the option is an underdog. The minus symbol means the option is a favorite to win. The return on the wager is higher.
This is because betting on the US presidential election underdog is seen as a more risky bet. In this case, news coverage and election polling are common sources of information. Prior to the election, people commonly trusted reliable polling numbers. In particular, polls leading up to the elections predicted the Democrats would gain in the US House of Representatives and would take bake the US Senate.
Neither of these occurred. So, how accurate are the betting odds? If Trump continues to campaign for the election, the odds could continue to be as volatile as they were in because of his unpredictability. Many of the key election dates are set months or years in advance. As of early , only two dates have been set for the election cycle. Primary dates and convention dates have yet to be set. Here are some of the key dates that could affect polling numbers for the US Presidential election:.
Legal US online sports betting websites do not accept betting on presidential elections or any other political betting. Although some events during led election betters to believe this could be changing. The West Virginia Lottery briefly approved three sports betting companies to open election betting.
With sports betting down and casinos closed due to the Coronavirus, the sports betting companies sought different avenues for revenue. Governor Jim Justice quickly rescinded this approval. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: No betting on games involving in-state college teams and collegiate events held within the state Number of casinos as of Dec. Mississippi enacted a new law in that allowed for sports betting pending a favorable decision by the Supreme Court.
In June , the Mississippi Gaming Commission adopted implementing regulations that require all betting to take place in person, with mobile wagering to be considered later. On Aug. The move came six months after the West Virginia legislature passed a new bill with the West Virginia Lottery Commission serving as the chief regulator. On Oct. According to Nedra Darling, spokeswoman at the Department of the Interior's Office of Indian Affairs -- the federal agency in Washington, DC that oversees tribal gaming compacts -- the New Mexico compacts permit "any or all forms of Class III Gaming," a category in the federal regulations that specifically includes "[a]ny sports betting and pari-mutuel wagering.
The move came just over a year after Gov. Tom Wolf signed a new sports betting bill as part of a broad legislation push that included online poker and DFS. The October bill became effective after the Supreme Court's May ruling upending the federal ban on single-game betting outside of Nevada.
The move came five months after Gov. Gina Raimondo signed the state budget, which included language allowing sports betting. Only two locations would be allowed to offer sports betting under the law, with the state's lottery providing regulatory oversight.
In early , the law was tweaked to provide for mobile betting. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: No betting on games involving in-state college teams Number of casinos as of Dec. Two other retail locations opened sportsbooks in the subsequent months. Sports betting is regulated by the Arkansas Racing Commission. On July 16, , the first legal sports bets were placed in New York.
Gary Pretlow -- a New York lawmaker and chair of the state's racing and wagering committee -- was among the first to place a wager at the Rivers Casino in Schenectady. The opening of a legal sportsbook came six years after New York passed a law to allow sports betting at four on-site locations, all in upstate New York. After lying dormant for years, the law was revived after the Supreme Court ruling in and the issuance of regulations earlier this year.
The current law does not allow for mobile wagering. Legal sports betting arrived in Iowa on Aug. The move came three months after Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds signed into a law a comprehensive bill to legalize sports betting in the Hawkeye State. The new law permits mobile wagering. Betting on college sports is permitted, but certain kinds of in-game prop bets involving college games are banned.
The new law bestows the Iowa Racing and Gaming Commission with authority to regulate sports betting. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: No prop betting on in-state college athletics Number of casinos as of Dec. Legal sports betting returned to Oregon on Aug. Oregon is one of a small number of states that already had a law on the books permitting some forms of sports betting, so the resumption of wagering did not require the legislature to pass any new law or have the governor amend an existing tribal-state compact.
In mid-October, mobile sports betting arrived in Oregon too, with the state-run lottery overseeing the launch of a new website and app. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: None at the Chinook Winds Casino Resort, but sportsbook operated by the Oregon Lottery does not permit betting on games involving in-state colleges Number of casinos as of Dec.
Legal sports betting opened up at a number of locations in Indiana on Sept. The Indiana Gaming Commission oversees all sports betting regulations and has issued licenses to operators across the state. Wagering on both college and pro sports is permitted, but betting on esports and high school sports is banned.
Indiana's new law allows for both mobile and in-person wagering. Regulations permit sports leagues or colleges to request "to utilize a geofence to prohibit wagers at the location of a particular sporting event. The state's lottery is in charge of regulatory of regulatory oversight. Both retail and mobile sports betting will be permitted on a wide variety of sports, although no betting on New Hampshire's in-state colleges is allowed.
Type of wagering permitted: Mobile Notable prohibitions: No betting on in-state colleges Number of casinos as of Dec. Legal sports betting arrived in Illinois on March 9, The move came less than a year after the Illinois legislature passed a broad gaming bill that allowed for both online and in-person sports betting. With Governor J. Pritzker's signature, the new law also provided for betting on-location at venues such as Wrigley Field.
Operators and certain data providers are required to obtain a license under the new law. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: No wagering on minor leagues or Illinois college teams Number of casinos as of Dec. Legal sports betting in Michigan commenced on March 11, , with two Detroit-area casinos launching on the same day.
The new law provides for wagering on a wide variety of sports, including college contests. Legal sports betting arrived in Montana in March The move came after Governor Steve Bullock formally signed into law a page bill that brought sports wagering to Big Sky country via the state's lottery.
Governor Bullock cited the Montana Lottery's "proven track record of responsibility and integrity" when signing the bill. May 1, marked the launch of legal sports betting in Colorado, with multiple operators allowing residents to open accounts online and place wagers. The move came less than six months after Colorado voters -- by a narrow margin -- approved a ballot measure that would provide "for the regulation of sports betting through licensed casinos.
Tax revenue from sports betting will help fund various state water projects. In June , the D. Lottery launched its "GameBetDC" platform allowing consumers "to wager while in the District on major sports worldwide" via computer or mobile device. Sports betting in nation's capital followed the passage of the Sports Wagering Lottery Amendment Act of and a Congressional review period during which time Congress did not formally object.
The Office of Lottery and Gaming provides regulatory oversight of all sports wagering in D. Type of wagering permitted: In-person and mobile Notable prohibitions: No betting on games involving colleges located in D. Number of casinos as of Dec. Regulated sports wagering -- all online -- launched on November 1, in Tennessee with four licensed operators offering a wide variety of options.
The "Tennessee Sports Gaming Act" permits statewide mobile sports betting without any brick-and-mortar anchor. As such, there are no in-person retail sports betting locations in the state. Subject to an exception, Tennessee's new law requires all licensed operators to "exclusively use official league data for purposes of live betting.
On July 26, , Governor Roy Cooper signed into a law a bill to "allow sports and horse race wagering on tribal lands," with such betting designated as a 'Class III' gaming activity under the state compact. The new law permits betting on both college and professional sports, but all bettors must place their wagers in-person at one of two retail locations. Governor Jay Inslee signed Washington's sports betting bill into law on March 25, The new law permits sports wagering at Class III tribal casinos in the state.
Mobile sports wagering is not allowed statewide, but is permitted when on-site at a licensed tribal casino. Betting on an "esports competition or event" is allowed, but the new law bans wagering on games involving in-state colleges or minor league professional events. The new bill delegates regulatory oversight to the Washington State Gambling Commission.
After some back-and-forth between Governor Ralph Northam and the legislature, legalized sports wagering was approved in the Commonwealth of Virginia in April