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So, long story short, you aren't going to stop the Alabama offense. It's going to get at least 35 points, and your only hope is to contain as many big plays as possible. At the end of the day, you need to outscore Alabama, which is difficult to do not only because the offense is prolific but also because its defense has been terrific.
If you look at how Alabama has performed this season, two games stand out as struggles. Those are two offenses that can stretch the field vertically with their passing game. The Notre Dame offense Alabama faced last week cannot do that.
Furthermore, Ohio State's offense runs the ball more effectively than either of those teams. The emergence of Oklahoma transfer Trey Sermon yards rushing and four touchdowns in the last three games has added another dimension to the Ohio State offense and takes a lot of the load off Justin Fields' shoulders. The Buckeyes should be able to move the ball and score on this Alabama defense. This is why, with the information available now, the Buckeyes cover the spread. Total 75 : If we look at both these teams, the over has been a smart bet for both this season.
The over is in Alabama's 12 games, and it's in Ohio State's seven. What's more relevant to this discussion, however, is the points involved in those games. There has been an average of Only three of Alabama's games featured more than the 75 points in this total. This would be the fourth time Alabama has played a game with a total in the 70s, and they've gone over in two of the three Ole Miss, Florida. The third, against Arkansas, finished On the Ohio State side, its games have featured an average of Of the seven games the Buckeyes have played, three have gone over this point total as well.
There was a win over Rutgers, a win over Indiana, and last week's win over Clemson. None of those games featured a total this high. The total of 69 in last week's semifinal against Clemson was the highest. Now, if we move to the College Football Playoff National Championship itself, we see this is the highest total for any title game in the event's seven years. The previous high was in the game between Ohio State in Oregon, which was set at The average total for the first six title games has been The only title game to finish with more than 75 points scored was at the end of the season when Alabama beat Clemson, These are two prolific offenses capable of matching that feat, which is why the total is so high.
But considering the history and the stakes, the smartest play here is to take the under. It'll likely be a terrifying ride, but sometimes you have to do what you have to do. Pick: Under All season long, Ohio State has been a slower-starting team in the first quarter, and it picks up in the second quarter. In the first quarter, the Buckeyes offense ranks 10th nationally, scoring In the second quarter, Ohio State ranks third nationally with Compare that to Alabama, which ranks third nationally in points scored per game in the first quarter Based on those trends, the odds favor Alabama having a lead after the first 15 minutes.
Pick: Alabama Even on a team filled with future NFL players -- as well as two other Heisman finalists -- he was the player who managed to stand out repeatedly due to his big plays. He enters tonight's game averaging a ridiculous It's hurt by the fact that Smith caught only three passes for 22 yards in a win over Arkansas in mid-December.
That was Alabama's final game before the SEC Championship, and after building an early lead, the Tide got a bit conservative and rested key players to ensure their health the following week against Florida. If we remove that game, Smith has averaged He's finished with yards or more in seven of 12 games this season, and tonight he's facing an Ohio State defense allowing That ranks th nationally. Some of that is due to teams having to throw to keep up, but not all of it. Pick: DeVonta Smith Over Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.
Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. Alabama vs. Ohio State prop predictions Alabama vs. SportsbookWire covers the game in full with college football betting picks and predictions and below, we'll look at how to bet the National Championship between Alabama and Ohio State.
Please enter an email address. Something went wrong. Also see: Prop Bet Payday: Alabama vs. Ohio State: Three things to know Alabama posted He had 25 receptions for yards and four touchdowns in his first four games before he was injured on the opening kickoff against Tennessee on Oct. There were reports this game could be pushed back to Jan. Big Ten officials are the only ones to raise concerns about the Buckeyes playing at this point due to a potential shortage of personnel.
Alabama is looking for its first title since pushing past Georgia in a overtime win Jan. Ohio State. January 11, Also see: Alabama vs. From The Web Ads by Zergnet. Ohio State prop predictions Joe Williams. Share this article share. Most Popular. More NCAA college football odds, lines, spreads and picks.
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