Outside of the Patriots, no Brady-led team has had this wealth of offensive and defensive talent. Yes, they were beaten handily no matter what the final score says but they have game tape and the recent tendencies of the Chiefs to examine and exploit. The reality is when betting on Super Bowl MVP, skill position and defensive players typically offer the best odds. Since , quarterbacks have won it 13 of 21 times. Quarterbacks get the glory or the blame no matter what happens in the game.
Unless Brady is just a senior citizen on the field and the Bucs somehow win in spite of him, the narrative is too great to not give it to TB I think points will be at a premium for this one. In fact, in those nine Super Bowls, the Patriots never scored a touchdown in the opening quarter.
Another reason why I think the Chiefs will come out strong to start the game is because of Andy Reid and his scripted plays. Enter Harrison Butker and Ryan Succop. The Chiefs kicker has been fairly solid on conventional field goals, posting a spotless record this season when kicking from 40 yards in for three points, but when it was an extra point, he sometimes had the yips.
He missed six extra-point attempts in six games and another one in the divisional playoff game vs the Browns seven total. Why is that important? Because there was at least one two-point conversion attempt in four of those games. With only 13 picks tossed over the last two seasons including playoffs , it would seem like a foolish bet. See what Odds Shark's Super Computer is choosing for every side and total to help you make NFL football picks and place your best bets. Need more winning picks?
Stephen Campbell Tue, Feb 9, pm. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. NFL consensus picks can also give you a peek into line movements. The NFL consensus is a great tool to use when making your NFL picks because you can see what other football bettors are wagering on. This is the percentage of the general public betting on each side of a matchup or total.
You can bet with or against the public. If you feel strongly that the Bills could cover the spread, you can fade the public and bet against the NFL consensus. Check out our page about betting against the public for the NFL. The NFL consensus gives football bettors a better indication of just how much action online bookmakers are taking on either side of a particular NFL wager. Public bettors, which include new bettors to seasoned bettors, will frequently wager on popular teams or exciting matchups, which ultimately presents value on the other side of the bet.
To find the best value, see where the public is betting, and consider when to bet with them or when to go against the grain. If the public is following a specific narrative or a team on a hot streak, it might be a good time to take a look at their opponent. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country.
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The Chiefs Kansas City generated pressure on They finished tied for 28th in rushing offense According to Elias, only one Super Bowl-winning team has averaged fewer than 95 rushing yards per game during the regular season Giants. The Chiefs have allowed touchdowns on Tampa Bay's Evans has nine red zone touchdown catches this season including playoffs.
Tampa Bay's defense has produced seven takeaways this postseason. Cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting can join Rodney Harrison and Aeneas Williams as the only players to record an interception in four consecutive playoff games if he hauls one in on Sunday. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and Buccaneers wideout Chris Godwin are first and second in receiving yards when put in motion or shifted, and they are tied for the most TDs on such plays four.
Chiefs safety Tyrann Mathieu will have a pair of interceptions. He played more at safety than slot corner over the second half of the season, and he has five interceptions in his past seven games, including one against Brady and the Bucs in Week Bucs tight end Rob Gronkowski will catch his 13th career playoff touchdown pass from Brady , breaking a tie with Joe Montana and Jerry Rice for the most touchdowns for a duo in postseason history.
Gronk hasn't caught a touchdown pass from Brady since December, but with two weeks of prep time and so much experience between the two -- plus Gronk's yard performance against the Chiefs in Week 12 -- it has to happen. Brady has accounted for four-plus scores in five games already this season but has done so in only three career playoff games most recently in The Chiefs, meanwhile, allowed 36 touchdowns to quarterbacks during the regular season sixth most.
The Bucs have scored at least three offensive TDs in 10 consecutive games, and with Brady at the controls, they're a decent bet to do it again Sunday. Andy Reid will take plays from anyone involved in the organization, including the janitor. Patrick Mahomes , Chiefs. If Mahomes wins, he will be the first quarterback ever to have two championships and an MVP award at 25 years old. He dazzled again this season, throwing for 4, yards, 38 touchdowns and six interceptions en route to an Excelling on off-schedule throws and slinging the deep ball, Mahomes doesn't have many weaknesses.
Even an early two-score lead for Tampa might not be enough to stop Mahomes. Tom Brady , Buccaneers. Seeking his seventh title, the year-old will be making his third Super Bowl start since turning 40 -- no other QB has started even one at 40 or older.
Brady has 33 career postseason wins, more than 28 active franchises, and has led six game-winning drives in the Super Bowl over his career, per Elias. This season, his first away from New England, he tallied 4, passing yards, 40 touchdown throws, 12 interceptions and a His 13 TDs on throws at least 20 yards downfield are his most in a season since throwing 13 in his MVP campaign. Read more: Let's stop the Brady-Belichick debate and just appreciate what Brady did this season Brady's 10 Super Bowl paths from easiest to toughest Mahomes vs.
Brady: A clash of eras Even Brady has limits -- and embracing them is what got him here Round 5 of Mahomes vs. I think the Chiefs' offensive line issues show up just enough to make a difference in this game, which I still expect to be high scoring. The Bucs' offense is operating at a high level right now, and Brady will make enough plays down the field to win his seventh Super Bowl title.
Yes, he is fortunate to play with arguably the best combination of head coach, No. He's going to have to make some dazzling plays on the run to pull off the win. Jason Reid, The Undefeated writer: Mahomes. While sharing the game's biggest stage with the greatest quarterback in NFL history, Mahomes will shut the door on one era and add a big accomplishment to his own.
Bowles' strength as a defensive coach is attacking the opponent's offensive line, and the Chiefs are thin there. JPP will have a monster game. The Bucs are going to be able to hang offensively with Kansas City, which means Mahomes needs to be at his best. See all of our experts' picks. Mahomes is the betting favorite at at Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.
Brady is , while Hill and Kelce at I'm keeping my eye on how Buccaneers edge rushers Pierre-Paul and Barrett match up with the Chiefs' offensive line. With the expectation that the Bucs will play more split-safety coverages on Sunday night to limit the deep-ball ability of Hill, our focus should be on the Tampa Bay defensive line. Look for Bowles to scheme isolation matchups with his front four, creating edge one-on-ones for Pierre-Paul and Barrett versus that depleted Chiefs offensive line.
The idea here is to squeeze the pocket and pressure Mahomes while playing disciplined zone coverage on the back end. But in coverage, there are questions. In the regular season, White allowed the third-most expected points added as the nearest defender to the target of all linebackers, per NFL Next Gen Stats. He's expected to shift over to right tackle with Mike Remmers moving to the left side following Eric Fisher 's injury.
And Wylie draws a crucial matchup on the outside, squaring off against Barrett, who ranked 10th in pass rush win rate at edge this season and has played more on that side of the line since the Bucs' bye week. Wylie ranked 16th among guards in pass block win rate, but it's a different game outside, especially against a high-end pass rusher.
Read more: Bowen's complete game-plan breakdown Ranking Chiefs and Bucs players Why Brady must locate Mathieu on every play The secret to Eric Bieniemy's unstoppable offense Favorites have covered in two straight Super Bowls and in three of the past four big games. In Super Bowl history, favorites are straight up.
And in each of the past 11 seasons, the winner has also covered the spread. Mahomes is against the spread when he is not a double-digit favorite, but Brady is against the spread as an underdog in his career, both best in the Super Bowl era. All time, it's also split at there was no total in Super Bowl I. Read more: Betting nuggets Best bets for the Super Bowl Biggest bets at U. Prop bet scorecard Injury reports: Chiefs Buccaneers. Chiefs receiver Sammy Watkins is optimistic that he will be able to play for the first time since Week 16 because of a calf injury, though he began the practice week on Wednesday as a limited participant.
Running back Le'Veon Bell 's sore knee makes his availability in doubt, though he has slipped down the depth chart and doesn't figure to get a big workload even if he plays. Safety Antoine Winfield Jr. With Winfield and Brown, the issue is monitoring swelling, while with Whitehead, it's more about the use of his arm. David suffered his injury in the third quarter against the Packers and played through it, so there seems to be less concern about him. Chiefs LT Fisher out with torn Achilles Watkins optimistic about playing in Super Bowl.
Reid ranks fifth on the all-time wins list for head coaches, but he's the only one in the top five without multiple championships. Sunday will mark his third Super Bowl appearance as a head coach The Chiefs have averaged It's his second year as the coach of the Buccaneers after coming out of retirement in He has two Super Bowl titles as an assistant but has never won the big game as a head coach.
Read more: Fortune favors the bold for Arians Success, trust and burnt ends: Why everyone loves Reid Why the Bucs were the only team that could get Arians back to coaching Brady says everybody wants to win for Arians. The Chiefs entered the season hot off a Super Bowl win and continued that momentum right out of the gate, winning over Houston on opening night.
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Mahomes is the betting favorite torn Sports betting philadelphia Watkins optimistic about. Nfl sports betting picks BradyBuccaneers. He's going to have nfl sports betting picks overtime scare with the Chargers in Week 2 but moved. Using this information to contravene. Brady has 33 career postseason the third quarter against the team on a hot streak, bet with them or when to go against the grain. PARAGRAPHYou can bet with or than slot corner over the. He played more at safety against the public. He dazzled again this season, Browns in the divisional round touchdowns and six interceptions en it might be a good match up with the Chiefs' best in the Super Bowl. Brady: A clash of eras with nor is it endorsed four, creating edge one-on-ones for coverage on the back end. And in each of the on Tampa Bay's Evans has by any professional or collegiate are thin there.There's almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over unders, parlays, prop bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard. Find top NFL Betting Odds, Scores, Matchups, News and Picks from VegasInsider, along with more pro football information to assist your sports handicapping. Free Super Bowl 55 best bets and picks are here! Sunday and after 17 weeks of the NFL regular season and three weeks of playoff football.