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The general consensus is that the majority of the time the betting public supports the favorite. With NFL games being played on Sundays sportsbooks usually make opening lines available the Tuesday beforehand. If you believe the Steelers will win it is wise to bet the odds of while you can. Once the volume of bets placed on the steelers significantly outweighs the volume on the Bills the Steelers will become to deter bets. This is all part of the line movement process which we discuss in another one of our guides.
For those interested in betting the Bills it is advised to wait. For every major sport except soccer which includes draws , the moneyline will only offer two options: 1 Team A to win and 2 Team B to win. One team has to win the game. However, it can also be challenging to make a decent return when just betting the moneyline. The biggest challenge with winning a reasonable return on the moneyline is that, often, there is a substantial favorite — particularly in sports like football and basketball — who is expected to and goes onto dominate.
In such cases, your options are either to stake a lot of money to win very little, or hope for an upset that is far less likely to happen than the odds suggest. Betting the Warriors repeatedly will see your bankroll grow very slowly, in the best-case scenario.
Betting their opponent will, most nights, see your bankroll shrink. How do you determine your potential payout, precisely? The moneyline number is the potential payout. For wagering games between two evenly matched teams, or in cases where you are expecting a big upset by an underdog, the moneyline is where you want to look.
The spread is a certain number of points bookmakers determine the favorite must win by for the bet to cash. The team that has a negative symbol in front of their spread has to win by more than that number, while the team with the positive symbol just has to lose by fewer than that number. To avoid that, sportsbooks usually try and include a half number in the spread e. Moneyline odds of is very hard to establish long-term success because the winning payouts are small and one loss could eliminate any positive gains.
The same moneyline will have ATS odds of which is more attractive to a bettor. The point spread is added to the team getting points and subtracted from the team laying points teams once the game is final to determine the winner.
From our NFL sample, you can see the Bills are getting 4. Next to the point spread are the odds which both are at Odds of is pretty common, but sometimes you can find a sportsbook with reduced juice. Bills would need to lose by four points at less. Once the game is final you would add 4. Bills would need to lose by five points or more. If after adding 4. In the scenario of a tie, if adding the four points to the Bills equals the Steelers then a tie is scored and the wagered amount is returned to the bettor.
If you are betting the Bills then the term is referred to as getting the points. Some might refer to it as catching the points also. A bet on the Steelers is referred to as giving the points or more commonly laying the points. As moneyline odds change as previously mentioned, so does ATS lines. Once the sportsbooks receive more units on the Bills the line will be shifted down to deter additional bets on the Bills.
The sportsbook might drop it to 4 or even 3. Likewise, if more money is being placed on the Steelers the spread will increase to 5 or 5. The shift is because the sportsbooks need to balance out the money wagered between the two sides. There are no limits or restrictions on how often a line can move. Middling is a strategy of betting both sides of the spread — once before the line moves and once after the line moves — and hoping the final score settles in the middle, so both of your bets win.
Because the spread is subject to shifts based on which team is getting more support, a publicly adored favorite can move by a few points, and create an excellent opportunity for aware bettors. Take Super Bowl 50 as an example. The Carolina Panthers opened the week as 3. Point spreads are used in most sports.
Very very rarely do those sports post different ATS spreads. This implies that teams in a winning position will not necessarily try to extend their margin—and more importantly, each team is only playing to win rather than to beat the point spread. This assumption does not necessarily hold in all situations. For example, at the end of a season, the total points scored by a team can affect future events such as playoff seeding and positioning for the amateur draft, and teams may "run up" the score in such situations.
In virtually all sports, players and other on-field contributors are forbidden from being involved in sports betting and thus have no incentive to consider the point spread during play; any attempt to manipulate the outcome of a game for gambling purposes would be considered match fixing , and the penalty is typically a lifetime banishment from the sport; such is the lack of tolerance for manipulating the result of a sporting event for such purposes.
Spread betting was invented by Charles K. McNeil , a mathematics teacher from Connecticut who became a bookmaker in Chicago in the s. An example:. Spreads are frequently, though not always, specified in half-point fractions to eliminate the possibility of a tie, known as a push. In the event of a push, the game is considered no action , and no money is won or lost. However, this is not a desirable outcome for the sports book, as they are forced to refund every bet, and although both the book and its bettors will be even, if the cost of overhead is taken into account, the book has actually lost money by taking bets on the event.
Sports books are generally permitted to state "ties win" or "ties lose" to avoid the necessity of refunding every bet. Betting on sporting events has long been the most popular form of spread betting. Whilst most bets the casino offers to players have a built in house edge, betting on the spread offers an opportunity for the astute gambler.
When a casino accepts a spread bet, it gives the player the odds of 10 to 11, or That means that for every 11 dollars the player wagers, the player will win 10, slightly lower than an even money bet. If team A is playing team B, the casino is not concerned with who wins the game; they are only concerned with taking an equal amount of money of both sides. This is the house edge. The goal of the casino is to set a line that encourages an equal amount of action on both sides, thereby guaranteeing a profit.
This also explains how money can be made by the astute gambler. If casinos set lines to encourage an equal amount of money on both sides, it sets them based on the public perception of the team, not necessarily the real strength of the teams. Many things can affect public perception, which moves the line away from what the real line should be. This gap between the Vegas line, the real line, and differences between other sports books betting lines and spreads is where value can be found.
A teaser is a bet that alters the spread in the gambler's favor by a predetermined margin — in American football the teaser margin is often six points. For example, if the line is 3. In return for the additional points, the payout if the gambler wins is less than even money , or the gambler must wager on more than one event and both events must win.
In this way it is very similar to a parlay. At some establishments, the "reverse teaser" also exists, which alters the spread against the gambler, who gets paid at more than evens if the bet wins. In the United Kingdom , sports spread betting became popular in the late s by offering an alternative form of sports wagering to traditional fixed odds , or fixed-risk, betting.
With fixed odds betting , a gambler places a fixed-risk stake on stated fractional or decimal odds on the outcome of a sporting event that would give a known return for that outcome occurring or a known loss if that outcome doesn't occur the initial stake. The spread on offer will refer to the betting firm's prediction on the range of a final outcome for a particular occurrence in a sports event, e.
The more right the gambler is then the more they will win, but the more wrong they are then the more they can lose. The level of the gambler's profit or loss will be determined by the stake size selected for the bet, multiplied by the number of unit points above or below the gambler's bet level. This reflects the fundamental difference between sports spread betting and fixed odds sports betting in that both the level of winnings and level of losses are not fixed and can end up being many multiples of the original stake size selected.
For example, in a cricket match a sports spread betting firm may list the spread of a team's predicted runs at — If the gambler elects to buy at and the team scores runs in total, the gambler will have won 50 unit points multiplied by their initial stake. But if the team only scores runs then the gambler will have lost 50 unit points multiplied by their initial stake. It is important to note the difference between spreads in sports wagering in the U.
In the U. In the UK betting above or below the spread does not have a known final profit or loss, with these figures determined by the number of unit points the level of the final outcome ends up being either above or below the spread, multiplied by the stake chosen by the gambler. For UK spread betting firms, any final outcome that finishes in the middle of the spread will result in profits from both sides of the book as both buyers and sellers will have ended up making unit point losses.
So in the example above, if the cricket team ended up scoring runs both buyers at and sellers at would have ended up with losses of five unit points multiplied by their stake. This is a bet on the total number of points scored by both teams. Suppose team A is playing team B and the total is set at If the final score is team A 24, team B 17, the total is 41 and bettors who took the under will win.
If the final score is team A 30, team B 31, the total is 61 and bettors who took the over will win. The total is popular because it allows gamblers to bet on their overall perception of the game e. Example: In a football match the bookmaker believes that 12 or 13 corners will occur, thus the spread is set at 12— In North American sports betting many of these wagers would be classified as over-under or, more commonly today, total bets rather than spread bets.
However, these are for one side or another of a total only, and do not increase the amount won or lost as the actual moves away from the bookmaker's prediction. Many Nevada sports books allow these bets in parlays , just like team point spread bets. This makes it possible to bet, for instance, team A and the over , and be paid if both.
Such parlays usually pay off at odds of with no commission charge, just as a standard two-team parlay would. The mathematical analysis of spreads and spread betting is a large and growing subject. For example, sports that have simple 1-point scoring systems e.
By far the largest part of the official market in the UK concerns financial instruments; the leading spread-betting companies make most of their revenues from financial markets, their sports operations being much less significant.