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The Bulls are not bad defensively, either, and they should be able to hold the Cougars to under 75 points in this game. I am only projecting between to points in this game. This gives us value on the under in this game between two strong defenses. Virginia can sometimes be a tough team to figure out. There is no doubt they are good, once again featuring one of the best defenses in the country.
This year they are a little more frontcourt-oriented though thanks to the duo of Sam Houser and Jay Huff. Those two average 29 ppg combined and there are not many teams that are getting that kind of production up front. Huff is also a defensive eraser, averaging more than two blocks per game. Georgia Tech is having a nice season.
The Yellow Jackets are over. They should have some confidence for this one, too, as they went to Charlottesville last month and only lost by a couple of points. Jose Alvarado is the kind of do-everything guard you need if you are going to beat the top programs, especially one like Virginia. He needs to be on his game. Virginia can beat anyone in the ACC by a significant margin, yet here they are on the road and only need to win by one possession to cash the ticket.
The loss at Virginia Tech a few games back might have scared some off, but this is a great chance to win that back and then some. Take Virginia. This total is right in line with the game we saw at Virginia. That one finished at , so projecting a total just a little higher at Georgia Tech in the rematch makes a lot of sense.
GT is a team with drastic scoring splits. The Jackets score 83 ppg at home, almost 20 more than they score on the road. Their defense gets a little looser, too, as they are giving up 74 ppg. That combination of ppg is a lot more than this one is projected at. Some recent results show home wins over good defensive teams such as Florida State and Clemson last month. Both games went over the total as the Yellow Jackets were able to get the game going at a brisker pace. They take the loss here but do succeed in speeding things up a little.
Take the over. But on the bright side somebody has to win here. For a few reasons, I think it will be the Eagles who emerge victorious. Right before the hiatus they had started to play a lot better. They only lost by one on the road against Duke, only by three on the road against NC State, and they beat Miami by Getting BC as a home underdog here presents a lot of value.
The over also makes some sense in this spot. Wake Forest shoots a very respectable 36 percent from downtown as a team. Perhaps most importantly, neither defense can stop anybody. The Eagles have given up at least 80 points in back-to-back games, so a total in the low s seems pretty conservative here.
Wake Forest just gave up 79 to Notre Dame their last time out. This one has shootout potential. Rutgers is a half-game behind Iowa in the Big Ten standings right now. I think the key to their success is playing at a more modest pace. Rutgers has a nice experienced, physical team, but playing too fast can be dangerous for them.
They can win grinders as long as they do not have to do so at the free-throw line; they only make 60 percent. The Scarlet Knights look like they are catching Iowa at the right time on Wednesday. Iowa has lost four of their last five, including two losses to Indiana that just might get the Hoosiers into the tournament. Mostly the losses have been due to teams taking advantage of a lame Hawkeye defense, but Iowa scored only 65 points in losing Indiana on Super Bowl Sunday. That was a season-low.
Rutgers is going to be a struggle for them because they have a big man who has a decent shot of guarding Luka Garza without needing help. That makes it tough for the rest of the team that relies on him to create space. This one is a tough call. I think Rutgers will be able to slow things down and even though there might be some empty trips at the foul line, they will be able to put pressure on the Hawkeyes all game long. They might even win it.
Take Rutgers. The total for this one seems more in line with business as usual for the Hawkeyes. But correlating this with the handicap above, I think Rutgers can be effective by taking a rugged approach to this one. Although it might not be pretty basketball, slowing things down helps them stay in the game.
They are playing teams in the 60s outside the RAC and when these teams played a two-point game, with Iowa winning at Rutgers last month both teams scored in the mids in a game that went under. I think we see less scoring than that with the way both teams are playing right now.
This is a large spread to cover, but take Tennessee to get it done, thanks to some very favorable matchup advantages. One of the reasons for this ranking is their ability to force turnovers, which they do at the 15th highest rate in the country. This spells disaster for a Georgia team that ranks th in protecting the ball. Georgia shoots the 10th highest percentage of their shots at the rim, but they may have issues against Tennessee.
The Vols rank 19th in field goal defense at the rim, and 13th in block rate as well. Switching to the other end of the court, Georgia is very weak on the interior. They rank 50th in two-point field goal defense and th in defensive rebounding rate. The under is a strong recommendation for this game.
To start with pace, Tennessee is definitely going to try to slow this game down. Their games only average Georgia loves to play fast, ranking 25th in the country at Only 23 teams take more shots in transition than the Bulldogs, but Tennessee wants to play slowly in order to deny these transition opportunities and force opponents to score on their top-ranked defense.
As mentioned in the point spread write-up, Tennessee is also excellent at defending at the rim, which is crucial against a Georgia team that ranks 10th in the country in shots at the rim. A lot of this is due to their affinity for mid-range jump shots, which are very inefficient shots. This is not a good way to be efficient on the offensive end.
Georgia is actually very good at forcing these shots as well, ranking 16th in the country in doing so. Mississippi State is the recommended side in this game, and becomes a pretty strong play if Darius Days were to miss the game for LSU. Days is questionable for the game with a knee injury, and he is very important for the Tigers.
The Tigers score 1. From a matchup perspective, this game will likely come down to which team rebounds the ball better. Both teams rely heavily on offensive rebounds, but Mississippi State is the better defensive rebounding team. Mississippi State ranks seventh in the country in offensive rebounding rate and th in defensive rebounding rate, while LSU ranks 84th in the country in offensive rebounding rate, but just th in defensive rebounding rate.
Also keep in mind their leading rebounder might be out for this game. One more reason to like the Bulldogs is how they defend the paint. Mississippi State is 11th in the country in limiting shots at the rim. This game will likely feature a ton of offensive rebounds, but look for Mississippi State to allow slightly less of them, which is enough to cover the short home spread. This game is very interesting from a pace perspective.
LSU wants to play fast, ranking 73rd in the country in average possessions per game at Mississippi State is the opposite, ranking th at The teams met just once last year, and that game played 64 possessions. LSU shoots a larger volume of threes, but the Tigers are shooting just One final point to help the under is the fact that both teams are very good at not giving an abundance of free-throw attempts to their opponents. Mississippi State is 43rd in the country at not allowing free-throws, while LSU ranks 64th.
This should help prevent the game becoming a parade to the free-throw line, and keep points off the board. Villanova will play their third Big East conference game in seven days as they host Marquette Wednesday night in Philadelphia. Villanova is looking to better their NCAA Tournament resume as the regular-season winds down, and if the Wildcats have any hope of securing a number one seed, they must take care of an inferior Golden Eagle bunch.
These teams previously met back on December 23, as the Wildcats defeated the Golden Eagles In the win, Villanova scored 1. In Big East conference play, the Wildcats rate out number one in offensive efficiency, three-point shooting percentage, turnover percentage and assists per made field goal. While their stock in the betting market is fairly high, they have the capability of covering the current point spread against the Golden Eagles.
Marquette has struggled on the defensive end of the floor in conference play, rating out as the 10th most efficient defense out of 11 Big East schools. The major cause for concern in this matchup is on the perimeter. Villanova shoots the highest volume of three-point shots in Big East play, while Marquette allows opponents to shoot the three at a The over looks to be the side in this one, as Marquette will need to keep pace with the Wildcats potent offense if they have any shot of staying in this game.
Back the over. Meanwhile, Ole Miss was close to falling completely off the tournament map only a week ago. People continue to underestimate and disrespect them at their own peril. Besides the trends, there are also some schematic reasons for why Ole Miss would struggle against Missouri. Missouri likes to score, and they have at least four players who they can count on for double-digit points every night.
Besides junior guard Xavier Pinson This veteran savviness has resulted in one of the most consistent offenses in all of Division I, and their ability to dish the rock That offensive consistency has also helped their totals this season, as the total has hit the over in five of their last six games.
For starters, the total has only gone under in only one of the last 10 meetings between these two schools. Further, a total of suggests that these teams need to score around 67 points each. Fortunately, the renowned Rebels defense has allowed their opponents to exceed that total in three of their last four games.
Our experts crunch the numbers, betting trends, injury reports, and much more to produce the best free college basketball picks and predictions every day. Unlike many places, here at Pickswise, we have you covered all season long, not just for March Madness.
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