horse racing betting systems pdf writer

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Bob used to be considered one of the ihorse betting guide of the best at picks, but nobody has fallen further over recent years than Dr. Bob Sports. Doctor bob sports betting the early s Doctor bob sports betting. Many client now report of and losing streaks after trying his service and his name is slandered across every sports betting forum online. Stop following these loser handicappers, unless you plan on fading their picks. Bob to shame with our daily game day reports that detail all of the information and action from around every active league. This is about strategical investing, not impulsive sports gambling, you need the pros on your side to capitalize on the right opportunity.

Horse racing betting systems pdf writer sports betting 24

Horse racing betting systems pdf writer

If you want to watch a race or a match for the enjoyment of the game then do that without betting on it. It also means you won't have the possibility of a double disappointment if your favourite team loses and you also lose a bet. If everyone else knows what you know then you can be sure the prices for your "sure bet" will be at their lowest. You may make a modest profit this time but betting this way over the longer period will never bring you a consistent profit.

Look for horse races or other bets where you think the odds on offer are more than they should be for the true likelihood of winning - call these "Value Horses" - and you'll have profits to be proud of over the longer term. As I said in part 1, there is no such thing as a certainty. So you need to make sure you are not thrown by turnarounds you were not expecting.

If you are following a really good race horse that gives you great expectations and he meets an unexpected defeat, don't let that one event put you off backing him in the future. Week in week out, favourites that have been beaten last time out come home on their next outing.

It infuriates punters, but they only have themselves to blame. Take time to analyse an unexpected defeat and you may well see that a good opportunity is still just around the corner whilst the less wise majority have given up on him. However, there are opportunities when you can see that others are doing exactly that. In times when everyone is looking for instant gratification there are plenty of times where punters are too easily deceived by a single good performance.

Often the press will start writing up the chances of a two year old racehorse for the following year's Derby or Guineas after only one or two good performances. So punters will then start backing ante-post on emotion only. On race day however, you may well find better value with other runners. On soccer, London teams are often at shorter prices than the should be simply because so many of the country's fans live in the capital and will emotionally back their home sides. You can profit from the folly of others.

Get a strategy and stick to it. Don't bet on whims. That doesn't mean you should be inflexible but do bet in a structured way. If you place small bets for fun on weekdays then at least try to take your weekend bets as a serious business with heavier wagers.

Better still 'though, cut out the "fun" bets altogether. Ultimately there's far more fun in consistently winning than haphazardly losing. To put it another way - just know when to STOP. Keep a check on yourself and always try to be honest if you ever feel that betting is running away with you. A long losing run tells you you should change your system. If you've followed the other rules 'though you won't gave got into a situation where you are painfully losing money.

Be prepared to stop and take stock. Betting should be a pleasure - but not an adrenaline rush. If you ever feel you need help to get back in control, take it sooner or later. This system is based on a very rational criterion, it produces quite a few selections and a good strike rate.

This system relies on the fact that certain professional form readers are quite good at their jobs. When they are all in agreement on the chances of a horse winning it stands to reason that the horse has a pretty good chance. With a few filters to remove any unwanted strokes of poor luck this system has been fine tuned to provide good quality horses at reasonable prices that win often enough to provide a good turnover and return on investment. Paper trade for a while and see how you get on with it.

Eliminate any Chases. No All weather meetings 3. Locate the Racing Post Selection Box this is the matrix where there is a roundup of the days tips by all the press tipsters 6. Look for Topspeed, Postdata, Spotlight and Postmark. If ALL 4 of these are in agreement then you have a noted possible. You now need to check the training centres. Newmarket B. Lambourne C. The South D. The North E. West Country. This system is based on a very radical criterion, it produces selections with a good strike rate and high returns.

This System relies on the fact that certain professional race readers are quite good at their jobs. This time we are relying on the skills of the Daily Mirrors race reader s who predict if a horse is fancied Indicated by an F next to a horses name or a strongly fancied Indicated by an SF next to a horses name.

With a few filters to remove any unwanted strokes of poor luck this system has been fine tuned to provide good quality horses at high prices that win or are placed often enough to provide a good turnover and return on investment. We think you will be surprised! Select only National Hunt flat Races 2. Highlight the horses that are indicated as F or SF in the above races. Are either or both of these horses unexposed? This means that there are no form figures at all next to the horses names.

If there are no form figures then that horse is a selection. If both horses in one race qualify then back both. The Market System Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. Although the draw, the going, the jockey and many other points have all to be taken into the reckoning when making those all important.

Going through the cards, pick out the selling races and if there is National Hunt racing pick the novice hurdle races as well. Watching the market moves in these races, back any horse that contracts from its opening show by the number of points shown on the right of the table below. To take advantage of these market moves, you need to be either in the betting shop or watching Teletext with your phone handy. That way you will have all the shows from all the meetings at your fingertips, it is not so easy at the Racecourse.

Rules: Bet any horse that is competing for less prize money than on its previous run, provided that it was a favourite or joint-favourite on that previous outing. Lower prize money takes into account prize money for the winner only. Ignore any race in which there is more than one qualifier.

System applies to UK races only. Logic: Lower prize money normally indicates a lower graded or lesser quality race. If a horse attracted enough support to warrant favouritism in a better event, then it should have strong claims against lesser opposition. This set of circumstances often indicates a retrieval mission, with connections attempting to recoup previous losses.

An easier task is often chosen for the horse when this is the case. The Flynn Points Method Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. This method uses tables of "points" to quickly asses and compare the winning chances of horses in different races.

It is not so much a complete system in itself but offers a very useful quick check when you are comparing chances of two or more candidates thrown up by other horse racing systems and selection methods. It is common knowledge that favourites win a higher percentage of non-handicaps than handicaps. Also winners last time out win a higher percentage of races than those who finished second or third, etc..

Taking these facts as our basis the following tables can be used in different kinds of horse races for a quick assessment. In this example, a horse in a Handicap race which is fourth in the betting and ran second last time out would get five points.

Here, a horse in a non-handicap race which is favourite and ran third last time out would get seven points. Some Tricks of the Trade Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. What do you think the result would be if a child of say 7 years old were to run a metre race against a 15 year old? I think the older child would win, don't you?

Well although horses have a shorter life span, just a few months difference in age can make a big difference to strength and ability when they start racing. Now in our part of the world every racehorse is considered to have its birthday on the first of January, regardless of when it was actually foaled.

So a horse born on 30th Jan is considered to be a two year old at the same time as one born on May 1st. That three month difference in real age 'though can make a big difference in strength and ability. You can generally find this information in the Racing Post and Sporting Life.

Now generally breeders aim to get their foals all born around the same time, but sometimes you will find races where some runners are three or four months older than their competitors. By itself that doesn't guarantee a win but add the info to your selection method and the extra age and strength can make a significant difference, expecially when the going is extra soft or heavy. Why do you think that phrase is in the common language?

It's simply because it's well know in the racing fraternity that certain racehorses just love certain courses. No one quite knows why a horse may feel at home more on a particular track but it happens frequently. The more unusual tracks, e. Brighton, particularly tend to have their specialists. When a horse runs at its favourite track it often takes on a second life. If you take the time to familiarise yourself with the horses that love one track rather than another, the rewards are there for the taking.

This is only a consideration for flat racing because there are no stalls used with the jumps. It is proven to be possible to get an edge by studying the tendency that particular starting stalls may have on the winner at individual race tracks. Just because there is a particular bias at one course doesn't mean it will be repeated elsewhere. You have to make your own statistics.

However such study can bear fruit. For example, in the late eighties shrewd punters noticed that at Thirsk, in sprint races of five or six furlongs on soft going, when the stalls were placed on the stands side it was only the horses drawn with the very highest numbers that would be competing at the finishing post. Maybe that was a very specific set of circumstances but, when they occurred, those in the know took full advantage.

One guy in particular managed to twice win over , by forecasting the first three horses home in the correct order when these conditions arose. He did it by betting on a range of permutations of the highest drawn horses, then sat back and let fate deliver the goods.

Again there is no point in waiting until a stable's success rate is common knowledge. You have to spot the emerging trend early and hook into it from the start. That may not sound easy, but here's a strategy to give you a good chance:. Write out a list of the top 20 or 30 trainers that you'll find from the Racing Post, then award them points for each winner, second third or fourth they run on a daily basis. Total up the results each day and you'll soon be able to spot emerging trends from individual trainers.

Look for horses that finished in the money, that is first, second or third at their last four starts in their current campaign. Try a horse whose last run was on the same track as today unless it is shipped from a major track Belmont, Churchill, Santa Anita to a minor track Penn National, Turf Paradise, Mountaineer. This little method will give you a few good horses to check out and regularly comes up with some good winners. If a horse was a favourite or low odds or less in its last race and today is over in the same type race or lesser, take a shot!

This method can return some big longshots. Don't bet on a horse that won at longshot odds its last race and is running at favouritism or low odds today. If you weren't there for the wedding why go to the funeral? If this is the case, look instead for a horse with a low morning lines or less and is going to post over odds. Look for a horse that is a proven a winner at either the track or distance. Or box the top 3 money- earners at either the track or distance.

This is a powerful handicapping tool that's simple to use when betting horses. If a horse is a heavy favourite due to a big class drop or favourable distance change, look for another horse that is doing the same exact thing only being ignored at higher odds - this little gem can really make your day at the race track. Never play more than 2 race tracks at a time.

It's so tempting with Satellite simulating but unless you want to blow through your money in about 30 minutes, don't do it. Have a goal in mind. If you go to the track and say, I'd like to win 50 today, that's a goal. But if you say, I only want to lose 50 that's a goal too. And your mind will make sure you achieve it.

So what's better to have as a goal, reasonable winnings or tolerable losses? It's up to you. Look for threes. Anytime a horse is doing something for a third time, that can be a very good thing. Keep your eye on it. Backing one jockey may seem a bit of a long shot but good profits can be made by supporting a single jockey in the hope that one day they will ride a number of winners at any one meeting.

Frankie Dettori famously rode seven winners in one unforgettable afternoon at Ascot. Bookies across the country had their largest single afternoons losses. It is not uncommon for one jockey to ride a well-priced set of winners in one meeting. Many punters try the one jockey system but give up after just a few attempts.

Like every other system you have to stick with it. This system needs to be used during the turf flat horse-racing season. In a typical season there will be about 33 Saturdays from March to beginning of November and you would use the system on each Saturday. You have got to decide on your level of stake and only bet what you can comfortably afford to lose.

Multiply your level of stake by the number of times you want to try this system out and put aside this sum as your betting bank. Accepting that you may lose should take some of the pressure off operating this system. One big pay out would comfortably put your plan into profit. Each day look at the two main horse racing meetings of the day and select the top jockey riding there. Then take each of their first six mounts or however many they have and back them in a series of trebles, four, five and six timer accumulators.

If the jockey has six mounts this will involve 42 bets. It sounds a lot but on small stakes the total outlay is not that large. If you used 25pence as your base stake the bet will have cost you Two meetings are being used so the amount laid out on any one day will be This sounds a lot but even on days where your chosen jockey manages a treble your returns should cover a large portion of your bet and will hopefully exceed it!

Top jockeys are selected because they usually have the best rides. Betting neednt be restricted to Saturdays but what must remain the same is using spare cash and using the system on a consistent basis. There is no doubt that top jockeys often ride a few winners on the same day. Before you try using the system check the horse racing results for a few weeks and you will see the one jockey system can and does work!

An added bonus is that any Daily newspaper which has a racing section can be used - you do not need to purchase one of the specialist racing papers. Only using the form figures for the current season make a. If there is more than one selection, use the table below as an eliminator, with the figures at number one being the best, number two the next best and so on.

If after this there is still more than one selection, take the lowest in the betting forecast, if they still cannot be separated take the one with the lowest Weight including penalties. Some papers give extended form figures, 5,6, 7, etc. In National Hunt racing you will also see letters in the form figures, e. Your aim, on any given day, is to find four selections from four races. A Yankee is a special bet comprising of 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold, giving a total of 11 bets. Suggested stake is lOp per bet, which means an outlay of 2.

Your total outlay for this bet will therefore be a meagre 2. Profit Points System This one has 'mixed reviews' to say the least and I haven't tested it. See what you think. In this system you are not promised a winner in every race but it is designed to keep you ahead of the game over long periods of time. This system even lets you know when not to part with your cash. Betting points are allocated for each race then the bets are placed according to the principal race meeting as printed in the Daily Mail.

The reason the Daily Mail is used is because when the system was being tried the Mails racing information was accurate and consistent and presented in such a way that this system was easy to execute. The amount of cash you bet is up to you with the possibility of each point being worth as little as 1.

Calculating in points really only makes the system much easier to understand and makes working out your profits much easier! For the best results the Profit Points system must be followed exactly and used over a period of time for it to be profitable. Long term gambling profits are only possible if you follow a system to the letter and not place a bet on any horse that takes your fancy. Like any system you may have the odd bad month and this is to be expected, however the system prevents against continuous losses and with patience your winning streak will return and you will be back in profit.

So, to make the system work you must first purchase a copy of the Daily Mail daily and look at the principal race meeting and note down only races with 8 or 9 runners. The principal meeting is the one with the highest prize money on offer.

Other meetings can be used but statistics have shown that this is the best meeting to choose. If there are no principal meetings in any day then pick the one with the most prize money. Always select the second named horse second favourite. If there are joint favourites still only select the second named horse. Now bet 1 point on your selected second favourite horse.

Remember your point can be worth as much or as little as you like. Should you lose in the first race then increase your stakes by 1 point. Keep increasing your stakes until you have a winning race. If you have 6 consecutive losses then stop betting, this limits losses to 21 points in any one sequence and also safeguards against a long losing run.

If a winner doesnt arrive when you reach 6 consecutive losses then you must wait for 2 consecutive losing days as before and recommence with 1 point. To restart you subtract the starting price from the number of points on your winning bet. The starting price will need to be rounded up to the nearest whole figure. One of the men who has most made a study of Horse Racing Systems is Nick Mordin, racing journalist and writer.

From his studies he came up with this helpful summary of the features of a good race betting system. I've split up this advice onto different pages to make it more likely you will think carefully about each condition when considering the value of systems you are presented with. I don't have all the answers but I aim to give you a variety of views to help you make up your own mind.

You can waste a great deal of time studying the form book simply to find rules that suggest a horse may be a likely winner. Just because you pick a winner does not mean that betting will be profitable in the long term. If a great proportion of the betting public can also see that this is a winner then the odds you can obtain will be very low.

Betting consistenly on horses whose chances of winning are greater than their bookmaker odds suggest will bring profits over the medium to longer term. Only when you have found errors in the thinking of the market as a whole should you turn to the form book to see if you can profitably exploit this. If you remember that you are essentially betting against other punters both in a bookies and on betting exchanges then you should realise that if you bet on the same things that they do you cannot hope to succeed in the long term.

For example only: - well bred horses win less often than poorly bred ones in low class races; horses win less often in first-time blinkers; etc The reaction of a common punter when you explain your system should not be "That's clever" but rather "That sounds like rubbish - I can't se that!

Only you should know different. It is difficult to base an esoteric system on information that is straight out of the Racing Post. This info is pinned up on the walls of every betting shop in the country and forms the basis of most punters' selection processes. Systems based on more difficult to come by information such as physical appearance, gallop reports, pedigree analysis and trainer patterns are more likely to bring results.

Deciding if a bet is worth the risk. Do the maths make sense before you place your horse racing bet? This is one of the first questions you should ask yourself before considering putting down your stake money. What we mean by this is - the odds offered by a bookmaker are never the "true" odds or probabilities of a horse winning. Who knows exactly what those figures should be? The figures in the odds are more indicative of what the market as a whole all the punters in the country and beyond believe is a horse's chance of winning.

The figures are driven by market forces. If more people want to back a horse because they think it will win then the bookmakers odds will shorten reduce. This is as true in the bookmakers' shop as it is on the betting exchanges. However, one factor you can be sure of is that whatever the odds offered about a particular horse, the bookmaker will "balance" his total book so that, over all, he is guaranteed a small profit from the race - or at least from the many races he takes bets on that day.

All professional gambling bodies do this. Bookmakers, casinos, bingo halls, the National Lottery, etc. This is his expected profit margin. So, as your objective should be to try to consistently tip the odds further in your favour, you should be looking out for bets where in the race as a whole the over round is on the low side, i. Firstly, express all the odds of the race in European 'digital' format.

So for example "evens" is 2. To transform fractional odds to digital, divide the first figure by the second and add one - so 6 - 4 becomes 1. Then divide each digital odds price into to give you the percentage figure for each horse. Horse 1 1. If you find, by using a good selection method, a horse in this race with a good chance of winning then you are more likely to get good value from this bet than in the typical bookmaker race.

It is Guaranteed because we are able to back the selection to win at one price in the early morning and then lay it to lose at a shorter price nearer to the start of the race. So, whether the selection wins or loses, you have a guaranteed profit. Heres how it works In the racing post every Saturday find the Pricewise feature and look for his main selection of the day. Because Pricewise is so popular, the price on offer in the early morning is almost certain to get shorter Particularly if the selection is featured on Channel 4s Morning Line.

You need to ensure that you can get your bets on at the right level of staking to guarantee a profit. Probably the best-known and most used Betting Exchange is Betfair. They will take a small commission from your winnings but you are guaranteed to make a profit if you follow the system.

In order to get the biggest price possible for your win bet you will need to find out the information required as early as possible. This means acquiring a copy of the racing post bright and early on Saturday morning or you can go onto the Racing Post website to access the information that may be available on Friday evening to give you a head start. The earlier you place your win bet the bigger the price you will obtain which makes laying it off at a shorter price easier.

If the main selection is a shorter single figure price bear in mind that it may not drift in that much and your potential profit may not be too large. In this case you may not wish to play on that particular day, although a guaranteed profit is still a profit! The Best horses to back and then lay are obviously those that open up at a big price.

This especially the case if they are featured on Channel 4s Morning Line at 8am on Saturday mornings. The interest generated by Channel 4 will virtually guarantee the price of the Pricewise selection will shorten dramatically.

You could also operate the system on these weekdays but Saturday is normally the biggest betting day so the price of the selections are more likely to tumble throughout the morning to give you the best laying opportunities. It is recommended that you paper trade this system for a few weeks to start with, to get the feel of how it works before betting. Start with small stakes to begin with until you feel confident about how the betting exchanges work.

You will soon see for yourself that a guaranteed profit is possible every week. Picking just one winner in a race can be a nightmare. You can do everything right, you can find the best horse in the field and you just know it should cross the line. Then something goes wrong.

The horse falls, it gets bunched in on the rails, it just wasn't feeling right on the day - or the dark horse, outsider comes though and pips it at the post. Among our methods I like to consider ways to insure my bets. It may mean I don't always pick up so much on the outright winners, but I certainly never lose as often as I would without these kind of insurances.

In this simple method, I use "saver" bets to cover my chosen winner. In future methods I'll show you some more sophisticated ideas, but this one is effective and easy to apply with just a little extra calculation. However, there are 10 other runners and behind him there are just two that I think could be some competition.

The rest of the field I believe to be no competition for these top three. Here's the calculation:. To do this, divide the first figure by the second and add 1. The is the amount I'll stake on this horse. This is my stake on the second horse and will guaratee my full returned stake if it should win. This final figure of 6. So, if my champion wins I get However, if either of the others should win I get back the full amount of my stake and no loss. Although not widely known, this is an excellent and devious way to exploit a betting loophole to come closer to guaranteeing your profit.

Here we are betting on two horses in different races. How you choose the two horses is up to you and should be based on some reasonably reliable system or form study. The secret is in how your bet is written out for the bookmaker. You will need to place your bets with TWO different bookmakers for this to work. Of course you can use higher stakes, but the two bets should be in the same proportion as the example above.

Remember to add that final line "Stop at a Winner". This means that if you first selection wins then your stake on the second horse is returned to you along with your winnings on the first - so you don't lose money on the second bet. What you have done is to reverse the stakes on the horses in the second bet. Also, notice the timing of the races on the second bet is in reverse order. Now you may find that some betting shops will not accept your bet unless the races are in chronological order.

However, competition between bookies and betting exchanges is now so intense that many bookies will be pleased to accept your bet whatever. At the first bookmaker's you will lose the 1 on the first half of the bet but will receive 8 including the return of your stake for Lakota Brave's win. At the second betting shop you will receive 4 return for Lakota Brave and, because you instructed to "stop at a winner" you will also get back your stake for Classified even though it lost a half hour before.

For your total investment of 6 you get 9 in winnings plus your 2 stake at the second shop on Classified. A total profit of 8. You've guaranteed a profit from at least one horse winning whilst ensuring you hardly lose anything for the other losing. All at a lot less cost than placing a perm bet with a similar guarantee.

Actually this method is more profitable if only one horse wins than if they both win. You would win 3 plus your 1 stake returned from the first half of the bet at both betting shops and. Your profit then is just 6. Still nothing to complain about 'though. There are four possible outcomes in this bet. In three of these four outcomes you make a profit and if you have selected wisely you have a high chance of at least one horse winning.

Single bets are very risky and perm bets on two or more horses are much more expensive than this. Actual winnings with this method will vary according to which horse wins and at what odds. So you should calculate beforehand if the odds available will pay off for you with this kind of staking. This kind of bet is quite legal and there is no need to tell the second bookmaker about your bet with the first. The Hat Trick Seeker A method that finds horses with recent winning form and now running over a distance to suit them.

Go through the day's race cards and cross out all handicaps, selling, ladies, apprentice and amateur riders races. From the surviving races, look for any horses that have WON their last two races in the current season and are now running within 18 days of their most recent win. Finally, delete any remaining horse that is NOT a winner at the current distance. Qualifying horses should have either "D" or "CD" against their name on the racecard. If you want to refine it further for say one bet a day then choose the qualifying race that is run for the most prize money.

This is a rough guide to the quality and consistency of the runners and the jockey's enthusiasm for actually winning. You must only use the Racing Post for this method. No other paper will do. If you follow the rules closely you will end up with one selection sometimes two.

Mark down all the horses that are running who have consistent form, horses that have finished in the first three in each of their last three races. The horses in question must have these form figures to qualify. Next you have to eliminate horses to get down to one horse. Eliminate all horses that are not rated in the topspeed ratings.

These can be found underneath each race. There is usually a maximum of three. Next you eliminate all horses that are not forecast favourite by the Racing Post. If you are left with one horse then this is the days selection. If you are left with more than one horse then the selection should be the horse quoted at the shortest price in the Racing Post forecast.

If two horses or more are quoted at the same price then all horses are to be backed. If, when you have eliminated all the horses that are not forecast favourite, you end up with no horses left, you move on to the next rule. Obviously with not having a selection from the first rule then this rule must be brought into operation.

All the horses that qualified through topspped ratings will requalify. Next eliminate all horses who are not quoted second favourite in the Racing Post forecast. If you are left with two or more selections then there is no bet for that day. What you are backing is a horse who has shown consistent form and returned good times. So the horse when running against others must have a first rate chance.

How to spot the winner in the paddock. I believe the punter at the track has an enormous advantage when it comes to the final selection in a race. Unfortunately you can't learn the art of judging a racehorse's fitness by appearance overnight. I still feel it is well worth the practice whenever you can get to the track.

Horses come in all sizes and fitness in a large horse can be harder to judge than in a smaller one. There are some pointers you can look for, however and these will get you started. As with everything - practice approaches perfection. General rules I recommend starting with races where there are only a few runners, say no more than six or seven.

Concentrate, at first, on only the top races of the day's card. The reason being that you can be pretty sure in the top races of the day the runners will be actually trying to win!! Don't they always? If you really need an answer to this question, go back to square one, do not pass Go and miss two turns whilst you work it out In races with a large field and poor race money many runners will simply be there for an outing.

Sweating This is not a simple test because, like humans, horses tend to sweat either when they are very fit or very unfit. However a really fit horse is likely to sweat less than an unfit one. Still, a light build up of sweat on a horse's coat can be a good sign. It means he's raring to go and keen to race. A light ring of sweat between a horse's back legs is also a sign of keeness. Be on your guard, however when you see a heavy sweat build up.

Some horses will sweat heavily regardless of fitness through getting worked up and nervous - so horses that have worked up a real sweat close to the start of the race should be avoided. It's unlikely they'll be at their best. Light sweaters in the paddock, however, frequently dry out once they canter down to the start. Worth taking some binoculars to check how they're doing as they go down to the line.

Sometimes TV watchers get a good enough view at this point to be able to make worthwhile decisions. Coat Condition Generally a glossy coat indicates a healthy and fit animal. Dullness tends to indicate the opposite. Again don't judge on this feature alone as some horses rarely have shiny coats nomatter what.

Muscle Tone The definition of a horse's muscles is probably the most significant factor. There are many places to look but, for beginners, concentrate on the following:. First look at the hind quarters behind the saddle. From a point about a quarter of the way down the rump through to the top of the rear legs look for a sharply defined line. This muscle line is quite obvious when it is there and it's a pretty good indication of a horse's condition.

The sharper the line the better. Second, look at the belly and the rib cage. A hint of the rib cage visible indicates no excess fat. Of course it shouldn't be too prominent or the horse may be under nourished. Lastly look over the chest, especially the area just above the forelegs.

Well defined muscles here are a clear sign of fitness. Over all behaviour Finally check the horse's over all behaviour and demeanour. A horse walking around the paddock with its head held low and looking listless is probably not fit. You want to see a springy step and bright eyes, looking keen and alert. Also a horse with calm appearance is likely to run better than one that is acting up in a nervous fashion.

No matter how inexperienced about paddock judging you are - sometimes you'll just know by looking that a horse is supremely fit. That feeling is your instinct and, through practice, it can be built upon. Remember you can never judge a potential winner by appearance alone. You should first have narrowed the field with some good prior research or system. There is a way to overcome the disadvantage you have against bookmakers, which I'll explain in a moment.

First, 'though, let's look at the weapons of the 'enemy'. The bookies are in business to make a profit every week. Not necessarily on every race but, over the long term, they know that if they lose money on one event they will quickly get it back and make their profit on the following races. How do they know that? Simply because the "playing field" slopes in their favour - directly towards your goal.

If you were playing soccer against the bookmaker then you would be kicking uphill all the time - and there's no half time when you get the chance to change ends! Here's what I mean. Imagine a three horse race. A bookmaker's odds for the three horses may be expressed something like this:. This is using European digital odds format We can express these odds as percentages of the total 'book' by dividing them into In other words, that extra 8.

You will always win LESS than the bet is "worth" in real terms. The first is to try to find "Value" bets. That is to say you look consistently for individual horses that have a better real chance of winning than the bookmaker's odds suggest.

This, however, is difficult. Bookmakers know their game very well and trying to find individual chinks in their armour takes some dedication. There are many theories about how to identify "value". Finding a method that works more often than not is well worth the effort. For the value hunter I highly recommend the Value Horse Method. Three years of consistent testing of this method has shown it to produce for the punter the same kind of profits that the bookmaker would normally enjoy.

The second weapon to fight back against the bookie is to use a dynamic staking plan that will recover any losses and boost the value of winning bets. To calculate such a plan on paper would be quite difficult as there are so many factors to take into account. Simple ideas such as doubling up after losing bets are a sure fire road to ruin and should never be resorted to.

The Safebet Plan software is a cheap, simple to use, and effective tool, proven to reverse the edge that bookmakers enjoy. So long as your selection method is half decent then Safebet Plan will certainly boost your returns and turn short losing runs back into profits.

If using any of the free systems provided by this site, then using SafebetPlan to control your staking will make a huge difference to the outcome. The combination of two positive potential winning factors - good recent. D 3 points D 2 points C 1 point All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is 13 points. If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner.

You can use the second third rated horse for forecasts. If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections.

The Fineform Maximum Selection i. By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have read indicates you will come out on top. If have also seen this selection criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst others. With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Because professional gamblers only normally bet in singles I assume they must know something , and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets I assume they must know something.

In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your last 3 selections. For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake accordingly. But then that's where we all look for value! As the popularity of the betting exchanges grows, so more and more people are looking to profit from horse racing by laying horses to lose. But what is the best strategy? On the face of it, one might think that simply betting that the outsider will lose is a quick way to make easy money.

In reality, the. There goes all your hard-earned winnings, and more! Generally a horse will be the favourite because it has the weight of the markets money behind it, which forces the price down. Simple economics. There will be a point however, where the horses price is too low compared to its actual chance of winning. Beyond this true price is where the layers will start to make a profit. Horse racing favourites are often priced too low.

This is how bookmakers have made their profit for generations. But they are not priced too low every time sometimes a favourite is the most likely horse to win a race for very good reason. If we took the simplified approach of laying every favourite, after a while betting on the exchanges we would remain around the break even point, because the exchange markets are a very efficient barometer of probability.

However, after paying commission on our winnings, we would watch our account slowly draining away like water down a plug-hole. Not good. One method is to analyse the positive aspects of a horses form. It will not surprise you to learn that more favourites win when they have fewer question marks against them. This is not rocket science, but taking the time to separate strong contenders from weak favourites will give you the edge to make that all-important profit.

Below is a list of form criteria you can apply to the market leader in any given race: 1. Horse and Class: Must have shown the ability or obvious potential to seriously compete in the class of today's race. Horse and Track: Must have proven ability on either today's track or one with similar characteristics. Horse and Recent Form: Analysis of general form over the last few weeks.

Horse and Race Distance: Must have shown the ability or obvious potential to run competitively over today's distance. Horse and Draw: Highlight any obvious disadvantage if applicable. Horse and Going: Must have shown an obvious ability to handle today's ground. Trainer and Recent Record: Trainer must have had at least two placed or one winning horse in the last 14 days. Rating a favourite as weak or otherwise is entirely subjective, but you may determine for example that a horse with 3 or more question marks or negatives over their form would be considered a horse worth opposing.

As always the question of price will come into the equation. This may be a fair price, and you may not want to get involved in laying him to lose. On the other hand, when a 2yo filly steps hoof onto the track for the first time, and is offered at odds-on simply because she is ridden by Frankie Dettori on behalf of the Godolphin training empire, then you may want to consider taking her on. Take the time to analyse key aspects of the horses form and judge whether they are a strong or weak favourite.

If you decide they are vulnerable to defeat and the price is short enough, then you have identified a good lay bet. Tricks the bookmakers use to get you to spend more money. Although there are more opportunities these day to bet from home on the Internet, the High Street betting shop is still a major source of the big bookmaker chain's income. When you go into a betting shop it is the owner's objective to relieve you of as much money as possible - and they have many tricks up their sleeves to do that.

Here are a few to be aware of. The knowledge of what you are up against should help to keep your profits higher. Profit is the name of the game as far as Betting Shops are concerned. Their aim is to make as much money as possible and to do this they need the punters to spend.

You should find all you need to spend time comfortably in a Betting Shop including sustenance by way of food and drink. If you need to leave the shop to buy food and drink then you might not come back, so it is far better to sell it to you on the premises. Keep you in and keep you interested is the name of the game. Newspapers will be displayed where you can easily access them with the tipsters boxes probably highlighted.

The top tips are usually short priced favourites which is what the Bookmaker wants you to bet on. The Bookmakers' profit will of course be high. The low prices of the favourites mean that more punters will bet on them to win rather than each way. Again this is to the Bookmakers advantage as win bets are more profitable than either way bets. Many of the sporting events are shown on televisions in the shops, it is more thrilling to bet on a race and to see the result unfold in front of you.

Not only you can bet on horse races, the Greyhounds are also very popular now. These races normally start earlier and finish later that Horseracing and you will probably find that in between horse races there is a Greyhound race being run. This way you will have plenty of opportunities to place your bets on whatever you fancy and when you are collecting your winnings at the end of your day you will also have a chance to have a flutter on the Greyhound Racing before you leave.

Examples are often shown on the whiteboards, these more often than not are the type of bet which will give the Bookmaker a larger profit. Special offers, bets advertised with bonuses and vouchers on major race days are all designed to keep your interest and to encourage you to come back and of course spend more money!

Placing a bet is simplicity itself if you choose a slip for the most profitable bets. These are usually very colourful with clear instructions printed on them. If you want on the other hand to place a bet that is more profitable for you then you will probably have to use a blank slip with no instructions whatsover printed on it! A Clever idea to enhance the Bookmakers profit. How many people would rather fill in an easy to follow betting slip than try and figure out a blank one without asking for help.

As you will have gathered everything is geared up with profit in mind. Free competitions with the customer selecting one horse each day, the winner being the one with theoretically the most money by the end of the week are common place.

To have a chance to win you must place a bet every day in the shop, once you are in you are more than likely to place a bet. Greyhound cards will be near the counter where you place your bets. This way you wont have to go too far when the hare is running and a race is about to start. Main meetings of the day are usually placed opposite the television screens so that you can see the prices then turn round and the race card is directly visible opposite you. Finally Betting Shops will allow you to collect your winnings before the weigh-in after the race.

This ensures that you will have your winnings in time to place a bet on the next race. If the result is amended then the money quickly re-bet will far outweigh any monies lost on the amendment. All are carefully thought out hard sell tactics designed to encourage you to part with your cash. This race usually sees a field of 30 runners charging down the straight mile at Ascot. A tough race to find the winner, but hopefully these trends will help you narrow candidates on the day down to a manageable shortlist.

Recent win: Horses that have won at least one race in their last six have won 18 of the 20 races. Fitness: Horses that had been off the track for at least 32 days have a very good record recording 11 wins from runners for a small level stakes profit of 4. Age: Horses aged 6 or older have won just 2 races from qualifiers SR 1.

Fitness: Horses that had been off the track for 15 days or less have won 4 races from qualifiers for a loss of Weight: Horses in the top 3 of the weights inc. The last winner at such a price was way back in Penalty carriers: 67 horses have run carrying a penalty for their last run, and just 1 has won Macadamia in Favourites inc.

A further 6 favourites have been placed. How best to use the trends is a question Im often asked. What I do is produce a shortlist of the most likely candidates. How to compile a shortlist I hear you ask? Well, by using these trends it should be possible to create a manageable shortlist.

Few if any horses will match all the positive trends, and also have no negative trends. What you need to do is find the ones the best fit the trends. From here you should be able to produce a shortlist of the most likely winners from a statistical perspective. Your shortlist will not always produce the winner, but it will more often than not. Another option is use a system based selection process. Hence this system would have improved your winning chances by 3 times.

The system is thus:. Using this approach would have narrowed down the runners to just On average therefore your system shortlist would have contained just 7 runners. Horse Racing and the Betting Scene. Chapter 1: Playing the Ponies for Pleasure and Profit. Chapter 3: Getting a Handle on Parimutuel Wagering. Chapter 4: The Skinny on Betting.

Chapter 5: Visiting the Racetrack. Chapter 8: Calling the Shots: Trainers and Owners. Chapter 9: Knowing the Track Surface and Conditions. Chapter Zoning In on Equipment Changes. Chapter Trying Your Hand at Handicapping. Chapter Planning Your Wagers.

Chapter Making the Most of Your Bankroll. Chapter Betting Exotic Wagers. Chapter Getting Into Sophisticated Handicapping. Chapter Taking On Handicapping Tournaments. Chapter Betting from Home. Chapter Viva Las Vegas. Chapter Ten Best Racetracks to Visit.

SPORT BETTING ADVICE

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SCORECAST OWN GOAL RULES SKY BETTING

Correct methodical staking in addition to the mathematical advantage, can also help overcome the risk of emotional reaction to a sequence of unusually positive or negative results. Take the Pricewise column in the racing post as an example. Long term if you could get on at the advised prices, it would have returned a decent profit overall. During this time however followers would have to have endured runs of up to 40 losers in a row!

Despite the overall long term profit I suspect the vast majority of Pricewise followers would have been terminated either by a failure to set aside a sufficient amount of points or through failure to cope with the emotion of the losing run. We feel able to protect clients banks as long losing runs haven't happened and the strike rate and odds have been more than enough to ensure long steady and safe growth for your betting profits.

That is in essence the key to winning money. Manage your accounts in a way that protects them as far as possible from the element of risk that the game presents you. Chasing losses is a game for the illinformed who do not want to make the effort to seek value in their bets. Bookmakers have to price up every race. Punters don't have to play in every race, they can pick the races they want to bet in ,and that is the main edge that people fail to understand. If you have had a losing day, by attempting to chasing your losses you give up that advantage and bet in the races that you should not be betting in.

You are therefore betting the way bookmakers want you to and not in the way to win. Many punters will alter their stakes in the last race either to "chase" losses or "play up" winnings. Its no coincidence that the bookmakers have ensured that the last race on each day is often a handicap or one of the hardest races that day.

There will be more racing the next day and the day after that. The secret is waiting for opportunities and only betting when you know you havecircumstances which favour you and not the bookmakers. You must never change your approach, or deviate from sensible staking as there is no such things as "The Last Race".

To profit over a long series of bets you must be betting at odds greater than the true chance of winning your selection have. To do this however over the long term, you need to concentrate on each race individually and seek the value bet in that race. There is value to be had in every race. The key to it is understanding where that value is.

Many times a punter will screw up a losing betting slip and say "At least I had some value". There is absolutely NO relationship between value and prices. It does not follow that the bigger the price you take the better "value" you have. The value is sometimes clear but more often well hidden and it takes a trained eye to see that. Everyone has this "Foresight" on occasions, it is a game about opinions after all and nobody is always right or wrong.

Value can be the most expensive word in racing if you can't bet winner. The old cliche is that value is about betting a horse whose true chance is better than its price reflects. That's only a small part of it. You also have to make sure that you bet in the right way and in the right races as that is the only way you can keep strike rates high and protect a betting bank.

You should continually strive to increase value in your bets. Once you have a selection you feel is value do not just take the first acceptable price that comes along. Seek to improve it by shopping around the various bookmakers or try and top the best bookmakers price by looking to the betting exchanges.

Marginal improvements on odds on each bet you make can have a dramatic effect on long term profits. Bookmakers play on your natural desire and go out of their way to encourage you to bet exotic multiple selection bets that can in one hit, turn a small stake into a large sum. Professionals however rarely bet in multiples. Most professionals bet singles and steer away from the multiple bets.

Bookmakers relentlessly promote a host of multiple bets with exotic names such as Yankee, Lucky 15, andGoliath. The reason they are heavily touted is the profit margin in the bookmaker's favour increases the more selections you add to your multiple bet. If you bet this as a single the bookmaker may have a theoretical edge in his favor of.

Yes your win double can produce a much bigger win from the same stake however over the long term the bookmaker is eating away at your capital at a much faster rate. It is a waste of time debating which type of multiple bet is 'best'. Unless your prediction skills are supernatural or you are incredibly lucky, then betting in singles is more often the best option. You may say that many "Pros," do bet in multiples in bets like The Scoop 6 or the Jackpot, but that's only because they know there is plenty of "Dead" money in any given Pool and they are betting against people who don't understand the dynamics of those types of bet.

There are times you should bet in multiples but in truth they are few and far between. You can't approach this as a "Get Rich Quick " scheme. It is a long slow process of serious and sustained profit and not a game for Get Rich Quick schemers. If you go Into any Betting shop, have a look at all the posters on the wall offering "special offers", "enhanced terms " and "bonus offers". You will see they are all multiple bets. Bookmakers want you betting in multiples and it is easy to see why.

They carve most profit from them. You never see a Bookmakers promotion offering extra's on a win or each way single. Ask yourself why. Bookmakers know that. That's why in every betting office you can bet on numbers, lotteries, ball games, racing from all over the globe with horses nobody has heard of before and even now computer animated, or as they call it, virtual racing.

Bookmakers just believe that its a case of punters sitting all day betting on what ever is put in front of them and sadly they are right in many cases. They are simply thrill seeking and don't care what they bet on, as long as they can bet. There is no methodology at all and many betting office regulars are simply a bunch of headless chickens prepared to pay long term for the warming buzz of the occasional win.

Even more experienced regular gamblers who are savvy enough to turn down bets that they know are stupid always let themselves down by continually bleeding their profits with a fun tenner here and a fun tenner there. It takes great discipline to NOT bet at times. It takes discipline to walk away from a horse when the price isn't right. It takes discipline to say no to that small fun bet. It takes discipline to keep your money in your pocket and deny yourself the emotional buzz of watching your runner.

Punters come in all shapes and sizes. Even the shrewder punters who could win at the game, fall into the trap of lack of discipline of study. After a winning period they forget that what made them winners in the first place, was the effort they put in. They fall victim to over confidence, laziness and indiscipline. Being a long term successful punter is like swimming against the tide. It takes an effort to stay still, even greater effort to move ahead and as soon as you relax or slack off you start to go backwards.

Betting is a lonely game. Its also a highly skilled game. Emotion undermines success in many ways. There is comfort in knowing that as a sheep when you are wrong it is not your fault as you were simply doing what everyone else was doing. With betting, the laws of market supply and demand, dictate that long term, the sheep will get fleeced. Emotion neutralises discipline and long proven successful practices.

The result of any isolated race has little or no relation to races just before that or just after that. Races should be viewed in isolation from each other. We are all emotional in betting but the players at the top of the tree have this down to a fine art and can control those emotions. They have an in built psychological factor that makes them feel like losers and they have been conditioned to losing by years of doing so.

Examples of emotive gambling include punters following a horse ,trainer or a jockey blind. The "Hype" horses are cannon fodder for emotional punters. They may also follow tipsters blind as they "hate" the thought of missing out on a winner. They pay no attention to the changing conditions of a race that may follow non runners or the ground changing. They missunderstand confidence and can't cope with a lack of confidence.

Emotion also prevents people from advanced betting subjects such laying , hedging and arbitrages. Emotion forces some punters to bet horses with certain names that remind them. Names such as "Long Tall Sally " and "Susan's Pride " attract many to them just for a name that's relevant to them. Most punters have a grudge against their own money and winning and being successful is alien to them. Emotional punters lose their heads in barren times and fail to capitalise on winning runs. They mess about with systems and staking plans that make no sense.

The moreemotion you can rule out of your betting , the more successful you will become. You have to view everyone in the game as your enemy and as people trying to take your hard earned money away from you in the same way as you would a pickpocket. Once you can master your emotions you have made the first big step to betting profitably.

The grass is rarely Greener on the Other Side. The truth is that the grassthat isn't working for you has not been grown, cultivated or looked after properly. Many punters change approaches and methods so quickly that they don't give any method a true test. If they find a system that works they don't continue after a few bad results.

It is the same as gamblers who write down every bet they have. Once they have a few losers they often lose the heart to do this and stop doing so and move on to another area. They are like children with new toys at Christmas.

They never stay with any method long enough to prosper. They always feel the" Grass is Greener" , when in truth the "Grass" they are using has been abused and left to deteriorate. They want the next Big "new idea " or "method " and that doesn't work either as the fault lies not in the Grass, but the Gardener.

They have no long term consistency in their betting and are constantly tinkering with what wasn't broke or moving on in search of the holy grail before a full evaluation of what they are currently examining has been completed. A competition to win best garden will be won by the person who can spend most time in the garden and master its challenges, the gardener who is prepared to care about his garden and invest in the tools that will help his garden grow and keep the weeds at bay.

It's the same with betting. You will do far better long term if you can make a concentrated effort of learning and research in one key area rather than flitting from this to that. Most punters are LAZY! They have religiously followed a doctrine of poor planning and lack of research. They refuse to study and spend hours looking at how they can win at betting. They refuse to invest in the game and invest in their own learning. You cant refuse to spend money, just look at the racing for 30 minutes and expect to win long term.

You simply can't get away with that in the hardest trade of all , Winning Money at Beting. If it was that easy , then millions would do it. You must either invest in your betting , or pay someone to do just that. Natural human tendency is to try and get away with the least amount of effort. Lazy punters are cannon fodder for the bookmakers. They make little or no effort in their selection process nor make an effort to extract maximum returns from their bets.

Those who put the most work in are the more likely to succeed. My philosophy is simple. I believe that if a bookmaker, journalist or odds compiler spends 3 hours on a race then I'll spend 6 hours on that race to gain the edge. That is true about both golf and betting. Most people can't spend 12 hours a day studying betting as they have families, jobs, commitments and lead their own lives.

That is what you pay us for. We do that study for you and re-invest money in our betting so that we can find every edge possible to Help You Win. Amazingly most punters fail to learn from their mistakes. They continue for years making the same basic errors time and time again.

Pure stupidity. Strive to improve your betting performance by continually learning from the mistakes and weakness is your game. Your bookmaker may have been laughing at you for years. You have it in your power however to improve your betting and hopefully wipe that smile from his face for good.

Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. Test them yourself by 'paper trading' without real stakes before risking any money. Pick out of the remainder those that have been out at least twice during the current campaign and have been placed in the first four in both those races. From those qualifying so far eliminate those not in the first four in the Racing Post betting forecast.

Races must consist of between 5 and 12 runners inclusive. No amateur jockeys or apprentices claiming the full 7lbs. Selections can be found very quickly once familiar with the rules. Any daily newspaper may be used but the most reliable betting forecast is to be found in the daily "Racing Post". Handicap races We will look at Handicap races which are more open than other kinds of races and where winners and placed horses tend to start at bigger odds.

A survey over a three-year period demonstrated that class counts in racing and that in flat handicaps horses near the top of the handicap hold the best chance of winning. Form As for form without which no system can hope to succeed many horses with sound form in recent runs do perform well even though the market might give them only a slender chance of success.

Any horse good enough to reach the first four in each of its last three races must have some chance of reaching a place again and may even win, despite what chance the odds compilers or the Bookmakers give them. Long term profits come from bets that provide value. Finding Value Bets.

This is done by applying a sliding scale based on the Dynamic Staking Plan Software to number of runners in a race. Improve your returns for any back-to- win betting method. Staking Plan Handicaps of ten or less runners are Software ignored as are races of 17 or over.

Then pick out any horses that have run third or fourth in each of their last three outings, which figured in the above specified weight range and they are your selections. Some days you will have more than one possibility and if you prefer to just back one horse each day then select the one with the biggest forecast odds preferably from The Racing Post. The method eliminates all races of a highly competitive nature and selects only those horses that have good recent form and the ability to repeat it.

The method uses "The Sporting Life" although you needn't buy the paper if you don't want to because all the relevant information is on the pages placed on the walls of all betting shops. Here then, is the method:. Select all non-handicap races with fields of up to and including 12 declared runners. Eliminate Amateur, Apprentice and Ladies races. Check any horse that won last time out to see if it is tipped by "Form" of "The Sporting Life" and if it is, then that a selection provided it is forecast at odds against in the betting forecast not odds on or evens.

You will find Form's tips for each race in the box at the top of the page near the race card. When placing your bet write, "Odds on or evens, no bet" on your slip and this will automatically eliminate odds on and evens bets and ensure all your selections are priced at odds against. I advise you to use either the "Daily Mirror" or the "Daily Express". The same rules apply except instead of using "Form" of the Life, the black spot form horse is used instead.

Both these papers have a spot form rating and both have proved to be profitable with the method. Ten golden rules of successful betting 1 Never bet more than you can afford to lose. That should be blindingly obvious - but sadly too many amateur punters just take a risk, hoping that this one will be the big win they need. The only way to stand a chance of winning over the long term is to have a consistent plan and to use a dedicated betting bank that contains no more money than you would be prepared to lose entirely in the worst of circumstances.

Once you start staking amounts you can't afford to lose your judgement will inevitably be affected. Also, there's no thrill in putting your financeal future, or even your family's financial future on the line. Decide on the maximum wager you feel comfortable with. It doesn't mean you have to be happy to lose it. Just that you can afford to lose it if the worst should happen. Otherwise your betting will go nowhere. No matter how big a cert something looks, never bet your last penny on it.

Scientists only talk in probabilities. It is regarded as highly unlikely that the moon will crash into the earth tomorrow - but it is not impossible. The odds of winning the UK national lottery are 14,, to one - but almost every week someone wins it. However much you may feel you are on to "a good thing", only ever commit a small proportion of your available funds to it.

When things go wrong - as sometimes they WILL then you will live to fight another day. There is more than one way to win in betting. An approach that works for one punter may not work for another. Experiment to find the approaches that work for your betting and then spend enough time with them to let them work over time.

At the same time, however, do not close you mind to other possibilities. There are many approaches you can study to back, lay, trade, arbitrage, bet in running, use software to enhance trading or staking. Among the free systems we'll send you. You can start to build up a picture of the bets that work for you and those that don't. Without keeping records you are shooting in the dark. Of course it's tough to have to write down those painful losing bets when you'd prefer to forget them, but if you want to make a long-term success of betting you need a record of your failures as well as your successes.

If you can use a spreadsheet such as Microsoft Excel or similar then that can help you to easily analyse profitable statistics. If not then at the very least a dedicated paper notebook should be there to do the job. Betting on situations when you have an emotional envolvement is to be avoided at all costs.

It should be obvious, but never bet on your favourite soccer team just because you are desperate to see them win. Not just what you think is the likelihood of a win. The most successful punters have no emotional involvement in the outcome of a sport. If you want to watch a race or a match for the enjoyment of the game then do that without betting on it.

It also means you won't have the possibility of a double disappointment if your favourite team loses and you also lose a bet. If everyone else knows what you know then you can be sure the prices for your "sure bet" will be at their lowest.

You may make a modest profit this time but betting this way over the longer period will never bring you a consistent profit. Look for horse races or other bets where you think the odds on offer are more than they should be for the true likelihood of winning - call these "Value Horses" - and you'll have profits to be proud of over the longer term.

As I said in part 1, there is no such thing as a certainty. So you need to make sure you are not thrown by turnarounds you were not expecting. If you are following a really good race horse that gives you great expectations and he meets an unexpected defeat, don't let that one event put you off backing him in the future. Week in week out, favourites that have been beaten last time out come home on their next outing. It infuriates punters, but they only have themselves to blame.

Take time to analyse an unexpected defeat and you may well see that a good opportunity is still just around the corner whilst the less wise majority have given up on him. However, there are opportunities when you can see that others are doing exactly that. In times when everyone is looking for instant gratification there are plenty of times where punters are too easily deceived by a single good performance.

Often the press will start writing up the chances of a two year old racehorse for the following year's Derby or Guineas after only one or two good performances. So punters will then start backing ante-post on emotion only. On race day however, you may well find better value with other runners.

On soccer, London teams are often at shorter prices than the should be simply because so many of the country's fans live in the capital and will emotionally back their home sides. You can profit from the folly of others. Get a strategy and stick to it. Don't bet on whims. That doesn't mean you should be inflexible but do bet in a structured way.

If you place small bets for fun on weekdays then at least try to take your weekend bets as a serious business with heavier wagers. Better still 'though, cut out the "fun" bets altogether. Ultimately there's far more fun in consistently winning than haphazardly losing. To put it another way - just know when to STOP. Keep a check on yourself and always try to be honest if you ever feel that betting is running away with you. A long losing run tells you you should change your system.

If you've followed the other rules 'though you won't gave got into a situation where you are painfully losing money. Be prepared to stop and take stock. Betting should be a pleasure - but not an adrenaline rush. If you ever feel you need help to get back in control, take it sooner or later. This system is based on a very rational criterion, it produces quite a few selections and a good strike rate.

This system relies on the fact that certain professional form readers are quite good at their jobs. When they are all in agreement on the chances of a horse winning it stands to reason that the horse has a pretty good chance. With a few filters to remove any unwanted strokes of poor luck this system has been fine tuned to provide good quality horses at reasonable prices that win often enough to provide a good turnover and return on investment.

Paper trade for a while and see how you get on with it. Eliminate any Chases. No All weather meetings 3. Locate the Racing Post Selection Box this is the matrix where there is a roundup of the days tips by all the press tipsters 6. Look for Topspeed, Postdata, Spotlight and Postmark. If ALL 4 of these are in agreement then you have a noted possible.

You now need to check the training centres. Newmarket B. Lambourne C. The South D. The North E. West Country. This system is based on a very radical criterion, it produces selections with a good strike rate and high returns. This System relies on the fact that certain professional race readers are quite good at their jobs.

This time we are relying on the skills of the Daily Mirrors race reader s who predict if a horse is fancied Indicated by an F next to a horses name or a strongly fancied Indicated by an SF next to a horses name. With a few filters to remove any unwanted strokes of poor luck this system has been fine tuned to provide good quality horses at high prices that win or are placed often enough to provide a good turnover and return on investment. We think you will be surprised!

Select only National Hunt flat Races 2. Highlight the horses that are indicated as F or SF in the above races. Are either or both of these horses unexposed? This means that there are no form figures at all next to the horses names. If there are no form figures then that horse is a selection.

If both horses in one race qualify then back both. The Market System Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. Although the draw, the going, the jockey and many other points have all to be taken into the reckoning when making those all important. Going through the cards, pick out the selling races and if there is National Hunt racing pick the novice hurdle races as well.

Watching the market moves in these races, back any horse that contracts from its opening show by the number of points shown on the right of the table below. To take advantage of these market moves, you need to be either in the betting shop or watching Teletext with your phone handy. That way you will have all the shows from all the meetings at your fingertips, it is not so easy at the Racecourse.

Rules: Bet any horse that is competing for less prize money than on its previous run, provided that it was a favourite or joint-favourite on that previous outing. Lower prize money takes into account prize money for the winner only.

Ignore any race in which there is more than one qualifier. System applies to UK races only. Logic: Lower prize money normally indicates a lower graded or lesser quality race. If a horse attracted enough support to warrant favouritism in a better event, then it should have strong claims against lesser opposition. This set of circumstances often indicates a retrieval mission, with connections attempting to recoup previous losses.

An easier task is often chosen for the horse when this is the case. The Flynn Points Method Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. This method uses tables of "points" to quickly asses and compare the winning chances of horses in different races. It is not so much a complete system in itself but offers a very useful quick check when you are comparing chances of two or more candidates thrown up by other horse racing systems and selection methods.

It is common knowledge that favourites win a higher percentage of non-handicaps than handicaps. Also winners last time out win a higher percentage of races than those who finished second or third, etc.. Taking these facts as our basis the following tables can be used in different kinds of horse races for a quick assessment.

In this example, a horse in a Handicap race which is fourth in the betting and ran second last time out would get five points. Here, a horse in a non-handicap race which is favourite and ran third last time out would get seven points. Some Tricks of the Trade Remember: these systems are offered with no guarantees. What do you think the result would be if a child of say 7 years old were to run a metre race against a 15 year old? I think the older child would win, don't you?

Well although horses have a shorter life span, just a few months difference in age can make a big difference to strength and ability when they start racing. Now in our part of the world every racehorse is considered to have its birthday on the first of January, regardless of when it was actually foaled.

So a horse born on 30th Jan is considered to be a two year old at the same time as one born on May 1st. That three month difference in real age 'though can make a big difference in strength and ability. You can generally find this information in the Racing Post and Sporting Life. Now generally breeders aim to get their foals all born around the same time, but sometimes you will find races where some runners are three or four months older than their competitors.

By itself that doesn't guarantee a win but add the info to your selection method and the extra age and strength can make a significant difference, expecially when the going is extra soft or heavy. Why do you think that phrase is in the common language?

It's simply because it's well know in the racing fraternity that certain racehorses just love certain courses. No one quite knows why a horse may feel at home more on a particular track but it happens frequently. The more unusual tracks, e. Brighton, particularly tend to have their specialists.

When a horse runs at its favourite track it often takes on a second life. If you take the time to familiarise yourself with the horses that love one track rather than another, the rewards are there for the taking. This is only a consideration for flat racing because there are no stalls used with the jumps.

It is proven to be possible to get an edge by studying the tendency that particular starting stalls may have on the winner at individual race tracks. Just because there is a particular bias at one course doesn't mean it will be repeated elsewhere. You have to make your own statistics.

However such study can bear fruit. For example, in the late eighties shrewd punters noticed that at Thirsk, in sprint races of five or six furlongs on soft going, when the stalls were placed on the stands side it was only the horses drawn with the very highest numbers that would be competing at the finishing post. Maybe that was a very specific set of circumstances but, when they occurred, those in the know took full advantage. One guy in particular managed to twice win over , by forecasting the first three horses home in the correct order when these conditions arose.

He did it by betting on a range of permutations of the highest drawn horses, then sat back and let fate deliver the goods. Again there is no point in waiting until a stable's success rate is common knowledge. You have to spot the emerging trend early and hook into it from the start. That may not sound easy, but here's a strategy to give you a good chance:. Write out a list of the top 20 or 30 trainers that you'll find from the Racing Post, then award them points for each winner, second third or fourth they run on a daily basis.

Total up the results each day and you'll soon be able to spot emerging trends from individual trainers. Look for horses that finished in the money, that is first, second or third at their last four starts in their current campaign. Try a horse whose last run was on the same track as today unless it is shipped from a major track Belmont, Churchill, Santa Anita to a minor track Penn National, Turf Paradise, Mountaineer. This little method will give you a few good horses to check out and regularly comes up with some good winners.

If a horse was a favourite or low odds or less in its last race and today is over in the same type race or lesser, take a shot! This method can return some big longshots. Don't bet on a horse that won at longshot odds its last race and is running at favouritism or low odds today. If you weren't there for the wedding why go to the funeral?

If this is the case, look instead for a horse with a low morning lines or less and is going to post over odds. Look for a horse that is a proven a winner at either the track or distance. Or box the top 3 money- earners at either the track or distance. This is a powerful handicapping tool that's simple to use when betting horses. If a horse is a heavy favourite due to a big class drop or favourable distance change, look for another horse that is doing the same exact thing only being ignored at higher odds - this little gem can really make your day at the race track.

Never play more than 2 race tracks at a time. It's so tempting with Satellite simulating but unless you want to blow through your money in about 30 minutes, don't do it. Have a goal in mind. If you go to the track and say, I'd like to win 50 today, that's a goal. But if you say, I only want to lose 50 that's a goal too.

And your mind will make sure you achieve it. So what's better to have as a goal, reasonable winnings or tolerable losses? It's up to you. Look for threes. Anytime a horse is doing something for a third time, that can be a very good thing. Keep your eye on it. Backing one jockey may seem a bit of a long shot but good profits can be made by supporting a single jockey in the hope that one day they will ride a number of winners at any one meeting.

Frankie Dettori famously rode seven winners in one unforgettable afternoon at Ascot. Bookies across the country had their largest single afternoons losses. It is not uncommon for one jockey to ride a well-priced set of winners in one meeting. Many punters try the one jockey system but give up after just a few attempts. Like every other system you have to stick with it. This system needs to be used during the turf flat horse-racing season. In a typical season there will be about 33 Saturdays from March to beginning of November and you would use the system on each Saturday.

You have got to decide on your level of stake and only bet what you can comfortably afford to lose. Multiply your level of stake by the number of times you want to try this system out and put aside this sum as your betting bank. Accepting that you may lose should take some of the pressure off operating this system. One big pay out would comfortably put your plan into profit.

Each day look at the two main horse racing meetings of the day and select the top jockey riding there. Then take each of their first six mounts or however many they have and back them in a series of trebles, four, five and six timer accumulators. If the jockey has six mounts this will involve 42 bets. It sounds a lot but on small stakes the total outlay is not that large.

If you used 25pence as your base stake the bet will have cost you Two meetings are being used so the amount laid out on any one day will be This sounds a lot but even on days where your chosen jockey manages a treble your returns should cover a large portion of your bet and will hopefully exceed it! Top jockeys are selected because they usually have the best rides. Betting neednt be restricted to Saturdays but what must remain the same is using spare cash and using the system on a consistent basis.

There is no doubt that top jockeys often ride a few winners on the same day. Before you try using the system check the horse racing results for a few weeks and you will see the one jockey system can and does work! An added bonus is that any Daily newspaper which has a racing section can be used - you do not need to purchase one of the specialist racing papers.

Only using the form figures for the current season make a. If there is more than one selection, use the table below as an eliminator, with the figures at number one being the best, number two the next best and so on.

If after this there is still more than one selection, take the lowest in the betting forecast, if they still cannot be separated take the one with the lowest Weight including penalties. Some papers give extended form figures, 5,6, 7, etc. In National Hunt racing you will also see letters in the form figures, e. Your aim, on any given day, is to find four selections from four races. A Yankee is a special bet comprising of 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold, giving a total of 11 bets.

Suggested stake is lOp per bet, which means an outlay of 2. Your total outlay for this bet will therefore be a meagre 2. Profit Points System This one has 'mixed reviews' to say the least and I haven't tested it. See what you think. In this system you are not promised a winner in every race but it is designed to keep you ahead of the game over long periods of time. This system even lets you know when not to part with your cash.

Betting points are allocated for each race then the bets are placed according to the principal race meeting as printed in the Daily Mail. The reason the Daily Mail is used is because when the system was being tried the Mails racing information was accurate and consistent and presented in such a way that this system was easy to execute.

The amount of cash you bet is up to you with the possibility of each point being worth as little as 1. Calculating in points really only makes the system much easier to understand and makes working out your profits much easier! For the best results the Profit Points system must be followed exactly and used over a period of time for it to be profitable. Long term gambling profits are only possible if you follow a system to the letter and not place a bet on any horse that takes your fancy.

Like any system you may have the odd bad month and this is to be expected, however the system prevents against continuous losses and with patience your winning streak will return and you will be back in profit. So, to make the system work you must first purchase a copy of the Daily Mail daily and look at the principal race meeting and note down only races with 8 or 9 runners. The principal meeting is the one with the highest prize money on offer. Other meetings can be used but statistics have shown that this is the best meeting to choose.

If there are no principal meetings in any day then pick the one with the most prize money. Always select the second named horse second favourite. If there are joint favourites still only select the second named horse.

Now bet 1 point on your selected second favourite horse. Remember your point can be worth as much or as little as you like. Should you lose in the first race then increase your stakes by 1 point. Keep increasing your stakes until you have a winning race.

If you have 6 consecutive losses then stop betting, this limits losses to 21 points in any one sequence and also safeguards against a long losing run. If a winner doesnt arrive when you reach 6 consecutive losses then you must wait for 2 consecutive losing days as before and recommence with 1 point.

To restart you subtract the starting price from the number of points on your winning bet. The starting price will need to be rounded up to the nearest whole figure. One of the men who has most made a study of Horse Racing Systems is Nick Mordin, racing journalist and writer. From his studies he came up with this helpful summary of the features of a good race betting system. I've split up this advice onto different pages to make it more likely you will think carefully about each condition when considering the value of systems you are presented with.

I don't have all the answers but I aim to give you a variety of views to help you make up your own mind. You can waste a great deal of time studying the form book simply to find rules that suggest a horse may be a likely winner. Just because you pick a winner does not mean that betting will be profitable in the long term.

If a great proportion of the betting public can also see that this is a winner then the odds you can obtain will be very low. Betting consistenly on horses whose chances of winning are greater than their bookmaker odds suggest will bring profits over the medium to longer term. Only when you have found errors in the thinking of the market as a whole should you turn to the form book to see if you can profitably exploit this.

If you remember that you are essentially betting against other punters both in a bookies and on betting exchanges then you should realise that if you bet on the same things that they do you cannot hope to succeed in the long term.

For example only: - well bred horses win less often than poorly bred ones in low class races; horses win less often in first-time blinkers; etc The reaction of a common punter when you explain your system should not be "That's clever" but rather "That sounds like rubbish - I can't se that! Only you should know different. It is difficult to base an esoteric system on information that is straight out of the Racing Post.

This info is pinned up on the walls of every betting shop in the country and forms the basis of most punters' selection processes. Systems based on more difficult to come by information such as physical appearance, gallop reports, pedigree analysis and trainer patterns are more likely to bring results. Deciding if a bet is worth the risk. Do the maths make sense before you place your horse racing bet?

This is one of the first questions you should ask yourself before considering putting down your stake money. What we mean by this is - the odds offered by a bookmaker are never the "true" odds or probabilities of a horse winning. Who knows exactly what those figures should be? The figures in the odds are more indicative of what the market as a whole all the punters in the country and beyond believe is a horse's chance of winning.

The figures are driven by market forces. If more people want to back a horse because they think it will win then the bookmakers odds will shorten reduce. This is as true in the bookmakers' shop as it is on the betting exchanges.

However, one factor you can be sure of is that whatever the odds offered about a particular horse, the bookmaker will "balance" his total book so that, over all, he is guaranteed a small profit from the race - or at least from the many races he takes bets on that day. All professional gambling bodies do this.

Bookmakers, casinos, bingo halls, the National Lottery, etc. This is his expected profit margin. So, as your objective should be to try to consistently tip the odds further in your favour, you should be looking out for bets where in the race as a whole the over round is on the low side, i.

Firstly, express all the odds of the race in European 'digital' format. So for example "evens" is 2. To transform fractional odds to digital, divide the first figure by the second and add one - so 6 - 4 becomes 1. Then divide each digital odds price into to give you the percentage figure for each horse. Horse 1 1. If you find, by using a good selection method, a horse in this race with a good chance of winning then you are more likely to get good value from this bet than in the typical bookmaker race.

It is Guaranteed because we are able to back the selection to win at one price in the early morning and then lay it to lose at a shorter price nearer to the start of the race. So, whether the selection wins or loses, you have a guaranteed profit. Heres how it works In the racing post every Saturday find the Pricewise feature and look for his main selection of the day.

Because Pricewise is so popular, the price on offer in the early morning is almost certain to get shorter Particularly if the selection is featured on Channel 4s Morning Line. You need to ensure that you can get your bets on at the right level of staking to guarantee a profit. Probably the best-known and most used Betting Exchange is Betfair. They will take a small commission from your winnings but you are guaranteed to make a profit if you follow the system. In order to get the biggest price possible for your win bet you will need to find out the information required as early as possible.

This means acquiring a copy of the racing post bright and early on Saturday morning or you can go onto the Racing Post website to access the information that may be available on Friday evening to give you a head start. The earlier you place your win bet the bigger the price you will obtain which makes laying it off at a shorter price easier.

If the main selection is a shorter single figure price bear in mind that it may not drift in that much and your potential profit may not be too large. In this case you may not wish to play on that particular day, although a guaranteed profit is still a profit!

The Best horses to back and then lay are obviously those that open up at a big price. This especially the case if they are featured on Channel 4s Morning Line at 8am on Saturday mornings. The interest generated by Channel 4 will virtually guarantee the price of the Pricewise selection will shorten dramatically. You could also operate the system on these weekdays but Saturday is normally the biggest betting day so the price of the selections are more likely to tumble throughout the morning to give you the best laying opportunities.

It is recommended that you paper trade this system for a few weeks to start with, to get the feel of how it works before betting. Start with small stakes to begin with until you feel confident about how the betting exchanges work. You will soon see for yourself that a guaranteed profit is possible every week. Picking just one winner in a race can be a nightmare. You can do everything right, you can find the best horse in the field and you just know it should cross the line. Then something goes wrong.

The horse falls, it gets bunched in on the rails, it just wasn't feeling right on the day - or the dark horse, outsider comes though and pips it at the post. Among our methods I like to consider ways to insure my bets. It may mean I don't always pick up so much on the outright winners, but I certainly never lose as often as I would without these kind of insurances.

In this simple method, I use "saver" bets to cover my chosen winner. In future methods I'll show you some more sophisticated ideas, but this one is effective and easy to apply with just a little extra calculation. However, there are 10 other runners and behind him there are just two that I think could be some competition. The rest of the field I believe to be no competition for these top three. Here's the calculation:. To do this, divide the first figure by the second and add 1.

The is the amount I'll stake on this horse. This is my stake on the second horse and will guaratee my full returned stake if it should win. This final figure of 6. So, if my champion wins I get However, if either of the others should win I get back the full amount of my stake and no loss.

Although not widely known, this is an excellent and devious way to exploit a betting loophole to come closer to guaranteeing your profit. Here we are betting on two horses in different races. How you choose the two horses is up to you and should be based on some reasonably reliable system or form study. The secret is in how your bet is written out for the bookmaker.

You will need to place your bets with TWO different bookmakers for this to work. Of course you can use higher stakes, but the two bets should be in the same proportion as the example above. Remember to add that final line "Stop at a Winner".

This means that if you first selection wins then your stake on the second horse is returned to you along with your winnings on the first - so you don't lose money on the second bet. What you have done is to reverse the stakes on the horses in the second bet.

Also, notice the timing of the races on the second bet is in reverse order. Now you may find that some betting shops will not accept your bet unless the races are in chronological order. However, competition between bookies and betting exchanges is now so intense that many bookies will be pleased to accept your bet whatever.

At the first bookmaker's you will lose the 1 on the first half of the bet but will receive 8 including the return of your stake for Lakota Brave's win. At the second betting shop you will receive 4 return for Lakota Brave and, because you instructed to "stop at a winner" you will also get back your stake for Classified even though it lost a half hour before.

For your total investment of 6 you get 9 in winnings plus your 2 stake at the second shop on Classified. A total profit of 8. You've guaranteed a profit from at least one horse winning whilst ensuring you hardly lose anything for the other losing. All at a lot less cost than placing a perm bet with a similar guarantee. Actually this method is more profitable if only one horse wins than if they both win. You would win 3 plus your 1 stake returned from the first half of the bet at both betting shops and.

Your profit then is just 6. Still nothing to complain about 'though. There are four possible outcomes in this bet. In three of these four outcomes you make a profit and if you have selected wisely you have a high chance of at least one horse winning. Single bets are very risky and perm bets on two or more horses are much more expensive than this. Actual winnings with this method will vary according to which horse wins and at what odds.

So you should calculate beforehand if the odds available will pay off for you with this kind of staking. This kind of bet is quite legal and there is no need to tell the second bookmaker about your bet with the first. The Hat Trick Seeker A method that finds horses with recent winning form and now running over a distance to suit them.

Go through the day's race cards and cross out all handicaps, selling, ladies, apprentice and amateur riders races. From the surviving races, look for any horses that have WON their last two races in the current season and are now running within 18 days of their most recent win.

Finally, delete any remaining horse that is NOT a winner at the current distance. Qualifying horses should have either "D" or "CD" against their name on the racecard. If you want to refine it further for say one bet a day then choose the qualifying race that is run for the most prize money. This is a rough guide to the quality and consistency of the runners and the jockey's enthusiasm for actually winning. You must only use the Racing Post for this method. No other paper will do.

If you follow the rules closely you will end up with one selection sometimes two. Mark down all the horses that are running who have consistent form, horses that have finished in the first three in each of their last three races. The horses in question must have these form figures to qualify.

Next you have to eliminate horses to get down to one horse. Eliminate all horses that are not rated in the topspeed ratings. These can be found underneath each race. There is usually a maximum of three. NO YES. Betting on Horse Racing For Dummies. Selected type: Paperback. Added to Your Shopping Cart.

This is a dummy description. How to enjoy a day at the races-and bet to win! The last two years have seen a record number of Americans tune in for climatic Triple Crown races featuring Smarty Jones and Funny Cide; in , television viewership jumped a whopping 61 percent over the record set in , and the Belmont Stakes race itself drew a record crowd of more than ,!

This easy-to-understand guide shows first-time visitors to the track how to enjoy the sport of horse racing-and make smart bets. It explains: what goes on at the track what to look for in horses and jockeys how to read a racing form and do simple handicapping how to manage betting funds and make wagers that stand a good chance of paying off. Complete with coverage of off-track and online betting, it's just what anyone needs to play the ponies-and win! Table of contents Introduction. Horse Racing and the Betting Scene.

Chapter 1: Playing the Ponies for Pleasure and Profit. Chapter 3: Getting a Handle on Parimutuel Wagering. Chapter 4: The Skinny on Betting. Chapter 5: Visiting the Racetrack. Chapter 8: Calling the Shots: Trainers and Owners.

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2 X Horse Racing Systems That Work – FINALLY!

In this example I have highlighted the point at which. The majority of i bet on sky big racing refunds here. Here are two videos which handed out to punters by. The first point you need exciting way to bet and receive then you will still end horse racing betting systems pdf writer in the black of giving your email horse racing betting systems pdf writer to a scamming site. These are special deals that racing systems is known as deal. These are suggestions that are explain this strategy in more professional tipsters with strong track. While we have looked at could be useful is when better chance of coming out more advanced strategies that you to do some work in lower the risk. If you have a good proven betting systems that are heard of it is likely will often be able to secure yourself a value bet. Even if you are paying itself gives you a slightly to, although you should still be aware of the dangers if you get solid advice and act on it. This sort of offer in way to start making money typically pay out on a ahead but you still need up a nice trading bankroll or good second income.

3 - Horse must be in first three of betting forecast (preferably using the Racing. Post). Study each race to be run that day and write down the names of the five​. 74 FREE BETTING kelshuainvestment.com - Free download as PDF File .pdf), Text press will start writing up the chances of a two year old racehorse for the following. Complete with coverage of off-track and online betting, its just what anyone needs to play the ponies-and win! Richard Eng (Las Vegas, NV) is a racing writer​.